王润元1,,,
王鹤龄1,
赵鸿1,
赵福年1,
阳伏林1,
陈斐1,
齐月1,
雷俊3
1.中国气象局兰州干旱气象研究所/甘肃省干旱气候变化与减灾重点实验室/中国气象局干旱气候变化与减灾重点开放实验室 兰州 730020
2.中国气象局定西干旱气象与生态环境野外试验基地 定西 743000
3.甘肃省定西市气象局 定西 743000
基金项目: 国家公益性行业(气象)科研专项GYHY201506001-2
国家公益性行业(气象)科研专项GYHY201106029
甘肃省气象局气象科研项目GSMAMs2016-14
国家自然科学基金项目41305134
国家自然科学基金项目41775107
国家自然科学基金项目41775105
干旱气象科学研究基金项目IAM201505
详细信息
作者简介:张凯, 主要从事干旱半干旱区气候变化对农业影响及适应技术、干旱致灾过程和机理研究。E-mail:lanzhouzhk@163.com
通讯作者:王润元, 主要从事气候变化对农业的影响、农业气象灾害研究。E-mail:wryww@163.com
中图分类号:S162.5计量
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被引次数:0
出版历程
收稿日期:2018-12-31
录用日期:2019-01-19
刊出日期:2019-03-01
Influence of climate warming and rainfall reduction on semi-arid wheat production
ZHANG Kai1, 2,,WANG Runyuan1,,,
WANG Heling1,
ZHAO Hong1,
ZHAO Funian1,
YANG Fulin1,
CHEN Fei1,
QI Yue1,
LEI Jun3
1. Institute of Arid Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration/Key Laboratory of Arid Climatic Change and Disaster Reduction in Gansu Province/Key Open Laboratory of Arid Climatic Change and Disaster Reduction of China Meteorological Administration, Lanzhou 730020, China
2. Dingxi Arid Meteorology and Ecological Environment Field Experimental Station, China Meteorological Administration, Dingxi 743000, China
3. Meteorological Bureau of Dingxi City, Dingxi 743000, China
Funds: This study was supported by the Special Fund for Meteorological Research in the Public Interest of ChinaGYHY201506001-2
This study was supported by the Special Fund for Meteorological Research in the Public Interest of ChinaGYHY201106029
the Meteorological Research Project of Gansu Meteorological BureauGSMAMs2016-14
the National Natural Science Foundation of China41305134
the National Natural Science Foundation of China41775107
the National Natural Science Foundation of China41775105
the Drought Meteorological Research FoundationIAM201505
More Information
Corresponding author:WANG Runyuan, E-mail:wryww@163.com
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摘要
摘要:为探索和验证未来气候变化对半干旱雨养区春小麦生产的影响,了解春小麦生长发育和产量对增温和降水减少协同响应的基本特征,采用开放式红外增温系统装置和水分控制观测场,设置不同温度[增温0℃(对照)、增温1.0℃、增温2.0℃]和水分梯度(正常降水、降水减少30%)模拟气候变化对半干旱区春小麦产量、生物量、穗部性状以及株高、叶面积、叶绿素和叶片净光合速率的影响。结果表明:温度升高和降水减少在春小麦的籽粒产量和生物产量上均表现出显著的协同作用。在不增温、增温1.0℃、增温2.0℃下降水减少30%处理比正常降水处理分别减产24.41%、12.93%和27.38%,生物量分别减少19.25%、10.31%和22.11%。因为籽粒产量的降幅略大于生物产量的降幅,所以导致经济系数降低。温度升高和降水减少抑制了春小麦穗的形成,在各增温条件下,穗长、穗重、总小穗数、穗粒数、穗粒重、千粒重表现为降水减少30%处理低于正常降水处理,而无效小穗数和不孕率表现为降水减少30%处理高于正常降水处理。温度升高和降水减少的协同作用对春小麦叶片净光合速率有极显著影响,对叶面积和叶绿素含量有显著影响。二因子协同作用使春小麦叶片净光合速率降低,导致春小麦株高、叶面积、叶绿素含量和茎秆重降低。研究结果可为进一步开展气候变暖下春小麦的响应与适应研究和未来半干旱区春小麦的安全种植提供理论依据。
关键词:温度升高/
降水减少/
春小麦/
生长发育/
产量/
半干旱区
Abstract:Infrared simulations were conducted in semi-arid Dingxi, Gansu, Northwest China to investigate the influence of climate changes that result in increased temperatures and reduced rainfalls on spring wheat production. Spring wheat was grown in one of the following six simulations formed in a factorial arrangement of three ambient temperature changes (+0℃, +1.0℃ and +2.0℃) and two rainfalls[normal (W0) and 30% below average (W30)]:0-W0, 0-W30, 1-W0, 1-W30, 2-W0, and 2-W30. Wheat yield, biomass, panicle characteristics, plant height, leaf area, chlorophyll, and net photosynthetic rate in each simulation were obtained. Decreased rainfall reduced wheat grain yield by 24.41%, 12.93%, and 27.38%, and wheat biological yield by 19.25%, 10.31%, and 22.11%, for +0℃, +1.0℃, and +2.0℃, respectively. The decreases suggested that the impact of climate warming was especially unfavorable for the economical return of wheat production. Wheat grown with decreased rainfall was lower in panicle length and weight, total spikelet number, number of grains per panicle, weight of grains per panicle, and 1000-grain weight, and higher in sterile spikelet number and spikelet sterility rate. Wheat net photosynthetic rate, leaf area, and chlorophyll content were reduced as the ambient temperature was increased and rainfall decreased. Spring wheat growth and production were severely affected when the ambient temperature increased 1℃ to 2℃ and rainfall dropped 30% in semi-arid China, suggesting that it is important to develop adaptation cropping to climate changes.
Key words:Temperature increase/
Rainfall reduction/
Spring wheat/
Growth and development/
Yield/
Semi-arid area
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图1试验地点位置示意图
Figure1.Location of the experiment site in Gansu Province


图2试验基地增温装置和水分观测场
Figure2.Infrared heaters and moisture-controlled fields used in the experiment


图3研究地点1961——2011年春小麦生长季平均月降水量
Figure3.Average monthly precipitation in the growing season of spring wheat during 1961–2011 in the study site


图4温度升高和降水减少协同作用下气温(a)和土壤相对湿度(b)的平均日变化
0-W0:不增温、正常降雨量; 0-W30:不增温、降雨量减少30%; 1-W0:增温1 ℃、正常降雨量; 1-W30:增温1 ℃、降雨量减少30%; 2-W0:增温2 ℃、正常降雨量; 2-W30:增温2 ℃、降雨量减少30%。
Figure4.Mean diurnal variations of air temperature (a) and soil relative moisture (b) under treatments of three temperature levels and two precipitation levels
0-W0: normal temperature and precipitation; 0-W30: normal temperature and precipitation reduced by 30%; 1-W0: temperature increased by 1 ℃ and normal precipitation; 1-W30: temperature increased by 1 ℃ and precipitation reduced by 30%; 2-W0: temperature increased by 2 ℃ and normal precipitation; 2-W30: temperature increased by 2 ℃ and precipitation reduced by 30%.

表1温度升高和降水减少协同作用对春小麦产量的影响
Table1.Effects of temperature increase and rainfall decrease on yield of spring wheat
处理 Treatment | 平均籽粒产量 Average grain yield (g·plant-1) | 平均生物产量 Average biological yield (g·plant-1) | 经济系数 Harvest index |
0-W0 | 1.221±0.04a | 2.862±0.11a | 0.427±0.01a |
0-W30 | 0.923±0.09bc | 2.311±0.09c | 0.399±0.02ab |
1-W0 | 0.959±0.09b | 2.484±0.05b | 0.385±0.03b |
1-W30 | 0.835±0.06c | 2.228±0.13c | 0.375±0.01b |
2-W0 | 0.610±0.05d | 1.877±0.09d | 0.325±0.01c |
2-W30 | 0.443±0.08e | 1.462±0.14e | 0.301±0.03c |
??不同小写字母表示差异在P < 0.05水平显著。0-W0:不增温、正常降雨量; 0-W30:不增温、降雨量减少30%; 1-W0:增温1 ℃、正常降雨量; 1-W30:增温1 ℃、降雨量减少30%; 2-W0:增温2 ℃、正常降雨量; 2-W30:增温2 ℃、降雨量减少30%。Different lowercase letters indicate significant differences (P < 0.05). 0-W0: normal temperature and precipitation; 0-W30: normal temperature and precipitation reduced by 30%; 1-W0: temperature increased by 1 ℃ and normal precipitation; 1-W30: temperature increased by 1 ℃ and precipitation reduced by 30%; 2-W0: temperature increased by 2 ℃ and normal precipitation; 2-W30: temperature increased by 2 ℃ and precipitation reduced by 30%. |

表2温度升高和降水减少协同作用对春小麦影响的双因子方差分析
Table2.Two-way ANOVA of the interactive effects of temperature increase and rainfall decrease on spring wheat
变量 Variable | 温度?Temperature | 降水量?Precipitation | 交互作用?Interaction | ||||||||
df | F | P | df | F | P | df | F | P | |||
籽粒产量?Grain yield | 2 | 125.21 | 0.000** | 1 | 46.13 | 0.000** | 2 | 3.45 | 0.048* | ||
生物产量?Biological yield | 2 | 151.52 | 0.000** | 1 | 83.01 | 0.000** | 2 | 3.63 | 0.042* | ||
株高?Plant height | 2 | 24.78 | 0.000** | 1 | 22.66 | 0.000** | 2 | 0.84 | 0.442 | ||
叶面积?Leaf area | 2 | 304.28 | 0.000** | 1 | 148.98 | 0.000** | 2 | 4.62 | 0.020* | ||
叶绿素含量?Chlorophyll content | 2 | 66.38 | 0.000** | 1 | 162.02 | 0.000** | 2 | 3.75 | 0.038* | ||
净光合速率?Net photosynthetic rate | 2 | 617.69 | 0.000** | 1 | 923.66 | 0.000** | 2 | 31.75 | 0.000** | ||
??*:P < 0.05;**:P < 0.01。 |

表3温度升高和降水减少协同作用对春小麦穗部性状的影响
Table3.Effects of temperature increase and rainfall decrease on spike characteristics of spring wheat
处理 Treatment | 穗长 Length of panicle (cm) | 穗重 Weight of panicle (g) | 单株总小穗数 Total spikelet number per plant | 单株无效小穗数 Sterile spikelet number per plant | 不孕率 Spikelet sterility rate (%) | 穗粒数 Grains per panicle | 穗粒重 Grains weight per panicle (g) | 千粒重 1000-grain weight (g) |
0-W0 | 13.70±0.31a | 1.42±0.09a | 33.80±1.33a | 5.20±0.75d | 15.42±2.38e | 29.00±0.63a | 1.18±0.09a | 40.62±3.10a |
0-W30 | 12.35±0.68bc | 1.03±0.15b | 28.80±2.04bc | 6.00±0.63bcd | 20.99±3.20cd | 22.60±1.36bc | 0.76±0.07c | 33.71±1.33b |
1-W0 | 12.89±0.77ab | 1.07±0.11b | 30.40±2.42b | 5.80±0.75cd | 19.14±2.38de | 24.60±1.74b | 0.88±0.07b | 35.94±0.70b |
1-W30 | 10.88±0.50d | 0.85±0.04c | 27.60±1.36cd | 6.80±1.17abc | 24.78±4.93bc | 20.80±0.75cd | 0.67±0.06c | 32.21±2.94bc |
2-W0 | 11.95±0.46c | 0.82±0.13cd | 26.20±1.33d | 7.20±0.75ab | 27.59±3.41b | 19.00±0.63d | 0.54±0.08d | 28.09±3.49cd |
2-W30 | 9.68±0.71e | 0.67±0.09d | 23.40±1.36e | 8.00±0.63a | 34.41±4.31a | 15.80±0.75e | 0.41±0.08e | 25.65±4.56d |
??不同小写字母表示差异在P < 0.05水平显著。0-W0:不增温、正常降雨量; 0-W30:不增温、降雨量减少30%; 1-W0:增温1 ℃、正常降雨量; 1-W30:增温1 ℃、降雨量减少30%; 2-W0:增温2 ℃、正常降雨量; 2-W30:增温2 ℃、降雨量减少30%。Different lowercase letters indicate significant differences (P < 0.05). 0-W0: normal temperature and precipitation; 0-W30: normal temperature and precipitation reduced by 30%; 1-W0: temperature increased by 1 ℃ and normal precipitation; 1-W30: temperature increased by 1 ℃ and precipitation reduced by 30%; 2-W0: temperature increased by 2 ℃ and normal precipitation; 2-W30: temperature increased by 2 ℃ and precipitation reduced by 30%. |

表4温度升高和降水减少协同作用对春小麦净光合速率和生长发育指标的影响
Table4.Effects of temperature increase and rainfall decrease on leaf net photosynthetic rate and growth characteristics of spring wheat
处理 Treatment | 净光合速率 Net photosynthetic rate (μmol·m-2·s-1) | 株高 Plant height (cm) | 叶面积 Leaf area (cm2) | 叶绿素含量 Chlorophyll content (SPAD) | 茎秆重 Stem weight (g·plant-1) |
0-W0 | 25.38±0.21a | 76.66±1.47a | 79.53±3.23a | 52.36±1.15a | 1.028±0.09a |
0-W30 | 22.96±0.42b | 70.53±1.80bc | 60.17±4.03c | 45.22±1.63c | 0.811±0.07b |
1-W0 | 23.34±0.16b | 72.33±1.73b | 67.81±3.99b | 48.20±1.20b | 0.851±0.07b |
1-W30 | 19.50±0.26d | 68.66±2.13bc | 47.97±3.08d | 39.52±1.37d | 0.567±0.06d |
2-W0 | 21.36±0.38c | 67.16±3.33c | 35.07±2.88e | 44.50±1.39c | 0.673±0.05c |
2-W30 | 16.62±0.24e | 59.70±5.34d | 24.27±2.60f | 32.59±2.64e | 0.485±0.06d |
??不同小写字母表示差异在P < 0.05水平显著。0-W0:不增温、正常降雨量; 0-W30:不增温、降雨量减少30%; 1-W0:增温1 ℃、正常降雨量; 1-W30:增温1 ℃、降雨量减少30%; 2-W0:增温2 ℃、正常降雨量; 2-W30:增温2 ℃、降雨量减少30%。Different lowercase letters indicate significant differences (P < 0.05). 0-W0: normal temperature and precipitation; 0-W30: normal temperature and precipitation reduced by 30%; 1-W0: temperature increased by 1 ℃ and normal precipitation; 1-W30: temperature increased by 1 ℃ and precipitation reduced by 30%; 2-W0: temperature increased by 2 ℃ and normal precipitation; 2-W30: temperature increased by 2 ℃ and precipitation reduced by 30%. |

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