前瞻性情绪作为社会风险的信息源假说：公共场景下风险决策的情绪及文化机制探讨

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王晓田¹(

), 王娜², 何金波¹

¹香港中文大学人文社科学院, 广东深圳 518172
²韩山师范学院教育科学学院, 广东潮州 521041

收稿日期:2020-12-21出版日期:2021-06-15发布日期:2021-04-25
通讯作者:王晓田E-mail:xtwang@cuhk.edu.cn

基金资助:国家自然科学基金项目(31971025)

The hypothesis of anticipatory emotions as information for social risks: Examining emotional and cultural mechanisms of risky decisions in public

WANG X.T. (XiaoTian)¹(

), WANG Na², HE Jinbo¹

¹School of Humanities and Social Science, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen 518172, China
²School of Educational Sciences, Hanshan Normal University, Chaozhou 521041, China

Received:2020-12-21Online:2021-06-15Published:2021-04-25
Contact:WANG X.T. (XiaoTian) E-mail:xtwang@cuhk.edu.cn

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 本研究从梳理决策的情绪理论入手, 在综合几种主要理论的基础上提出了“前瞻性情绪作为社会风险信息源”的假说。前瞻性情绪是在决策过程中产生的, 由于对决策选择的预期而感受到的, 进而影响决策行为的情绪。社会环境下的风险事件具有突发和稍纵即逝的特征, 如果一个公民对这类风险事件做出反应, 其结果的概率难于量化。在这种情况下, 前瞻性情绪能够为决策者快速提供有关信息, 并形成对决策预期结果严重性和可能性的综合表征, 从而成为公众场景下风险决策的有效线索。不同前瞻性情绪的组合在面对社会性风险事件时具有针对性的作用。近年来在文化比较中对于面子、荣誉和尊严文化的划分, 也为我们研究文化的情绪特征和行为效应提供了理论框架。本研究拟通过四项研究和多个实验探讨前瞻性情绪如何影响公众场景下人们的风险应对行为, 并对三种文化的情绪特征进行比较, 探索情绪性决策中个人因素、群体因素、及文化因素如何共同决定公共场景下风险决策(如亲社会行为或反社会行为)的发生与发展, 同时也期望为公共政策的制定及风险管理提供科学依据。

图/表 1

图1研究框架图：公共场景下风险决策的情绪及文化机制的探讨

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