| 中国碳市场现状与未来发展 |
| 林文斌, 刘滨 |
| 清华大学 能源环境经济研究所, 北京 100084 |
| Chinese carbon market: Current status and future perspectives |
| LIN Wenbin, LIU Bin |
| Institute of Energy Environment and Economy, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China |
摘要:
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| 摘要面对日益严峻的全球气候变化问题, 中国大力发展试点省市碳市场, 并积极研究试点碳市场连接和国家碳市场建设等问题。该文采用比较分析法, 从法律基础、体系设计、机构安排和调控政策这4个维度分析试点碳市场建设和发展现状, 结合试点省市经济发展、产业结构和减排成本特征, 探讨试点碳市场连接形成国家碳市场的建设路径。建议政策制定者在试点碳市场运行平稳后即启动国家碳市场建设, 试点碳市场逐步连接到国家碳市场体系。在国家碳市场建设过程中必须对不同省市给予灵活政策, 同时考虑与其他能源环境气候政策的协调问题。 | |||
| 关键词 ：碳市场连接,经济发展,产业结构,减排成本 | |||
| Abstract：Faced with the increasingly serious problem of global climate change, China has developed pilot carbon markets at the provincial level and is actively exploring pilot market linkage and a national market. This study compares the current status of the pilot carbon markets in terms of their legal basis, system design, institutional arrangement and regulatory policies. Then, the economic development, industrial structure and abatement costs of the different pilot provincial and city markets are analyzed to provide guidance for a national market. This paper advises policy makers to start building a national carbon market once the pilot markets are operating steadily and that the pilot markets should be gradually linked to the national system. While constructing national market, central government should consider maneuverable policy for different provinces, as well as the coexistence of carbon market and other energy, environment and climate policies. | |||
| Key words：carbon market linkageeconomic developmentindustrial structureabatement costs | |||
| 收稿日期: 2014-05-14 出版日期: 2016-01-12 | |||
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| 通讯作者:刘滨,副教授,E-mail:lbinet@mail.tsinghua.edu.cnE-mail: lbinet@mail.tsinghua.edu.cn | |||
| 引用本文: |
| 林文斌, 刘滨. 中国碳市场现状与未来发展[J]. 清华大学学报（自然科学版）, 2015, 55(12): 1315-1323. LIN Wenbin, LIU Bin. Chinese carbon market: Current status and future perspectives. Journal of Tsinghua University(Science and Technology), 2015, 55(12): 1315-1323. |
| 链接本文: |
| http://jst.tsinghuajournals.com/CN/10.16511/j.cnki.qhdxxb.2015.24.008或 http://jst.tsinghuajournals.com/CN/Y2015/V55/I12/1315 |
图表:
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| 表1 各试点碳市场体系设计方面的主要差异 |
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| 表2 各试点碳市场机构安排和调控政策方面的差异 |
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| 图1 各个试点省市碳市场总交易量和平均CO2 价格 |
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| 图2 碳市场连接的3种模式 |
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| 表3 世界主要碳市场的连接模式 |
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| 图3 各试点省市2012年工业、第三产业占GDP百分比 |
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| 表4 试点省市规划国民生产总值(GDP)增速 |
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| 图4 中国碳市场建设方案 |
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