1.Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster of Ministry of Education, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China 2.State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China 3.Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences and Institute of Atmospheric Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai 200433, China 4.Jiangsu Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Nanjing 210009, China Manuscript received: 2019-11-06 Manuscript revised: 2020-04-14 Manuscript accepted: 2020-04-22 Abstract:Strong vertical motion (>10 m s?1) has profound implications for tropical cyclone (TC) structure changes and intensity. While extreme updrafts in the TC are occasionally observed in real TCs, the associated small-scale features remain unclear. Based on an analysis of the extreme eyewall updrafts in two numerical experiments conducted with the Advanced Research version of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, in which the large-eddy simulation (LES) technique was used with the finest grid spacings of 37 and 111 m, for the first time this study demonstrates that the simulated extreme updrafts that occur mainly in the enhanced eyewall convection on the down-shear left side are comparable to available observations. The simulated extreme updraft exhibits relatively high frequencies in the lower (750 m), middle (6.5 km) and upper (13 km) troposphere, which are associated with different types of small-scale structures. While the lower-level extreme updraft is mainly related to the tornado-scale vortex, the extreme updraft at upper levels is closely associated with a pair of counter-rotating horizontal rolls oriented generally along the TC tangential flow, which are closely associated with the enhanced eyewall convection. The extreme updraft at middle levels is related to relatively complicated small-scale structures. The study suggests that extreme updrafts can be simulated when the grid spacing is about 100 m or less in the WRF-LES framework, although the simulated small-scale features need further verification in both observation and simulation. Keywords: tropical cyclone, eyewall updraft, large-eddy simulation, small-scale structure 摘要:极端上升运动(> 10 m s?1)对热带气旋强度和结构变化有重要作用。在实际观测中,虽然能发现热带气旋中存在极端上升运动,但与之联系的小尺度系统仍不清楚。本文采用结合大涡模拟技术的WRF模式进行了两组高分辨率的数值试验,发现极端上升运动的分布特征与观测一致,主要出现在眼墙强对流一侧的低层(750 m)、中层 (6.5 km)和高层(13 km),并且对应着小尺度环流。极端上升运动在低层主要与龙卷尺度涡旋相联系,高层与沿着切向风分布的一对反向旋转水平涡旋相关,而中层的极端上升气流与相对复杂的小尺度系统有关。研究表明,当水平分辨率约为100 m或更小时在WRF中可以模拟出极端上升运动,但小尺度系统特征在观测和模拟中都需要进一步验证。 关键词:热带气旋, 眼墙上升运动, 大涡模拟, 小尺度结构
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3.1. Definition of an extreme updraft
In this study, we use the percentile rank to determine the thresholds of the extreme updraft and downdraft at each vertical level. The frequencies of the upward and downward vertical motion are first counted in intervals of 0.05 m s?1 during the 12-h period, and then the thresholds are selected for the top 5%, 1%, and 0.1% of samples. Note that the percentage depends on the size of the counting domain and speed interval. Figure 4 shows the thresholds as a function of altitude. Although the thresholds are slightly different, the vertical distributions are quite similar in the two experiments. For the updraft and downdraft, the magnitude of the threshold increases with altitude, especially for the 1% and 0.1% percentages. Figure4. Vertical distribution of the threshold of the extreme updraft and downdraft (units: m s?1) for the 5% (blue), 1% (red) and 0.1% (black) percentages during 25?36 h in (a) LES-111 and (b) LES-37.
Since the altitudes of the maximum thresholds and the associated magnitudes are only slightly different in the two experiments, we focus mainly on LES-37 in the following discussion. In Fig. 4, we can see three maxima at the lower, middle and upper levels for both the updraft and downdraft. Tables 1 and 2 list the thresholds for the 5%, 1% and 0.1% percentages at three typical levels. The selected three levels represent the altitudes of the threshold maxima of the extreme updraft (Fig. 4b). The extreme vertical motion thresholds of the 5% percentage are mainly between ?2 m s?1 and 2 m s?1, and the updraft thresholds of the 1% percentage are 5.6 m s?1 at 750 m, 7.2 m s?1 at 5.75 km and 10 m s?1 at 13 km. Stern et al. (2016) used a threshold of 10 m s?1 at lower levels. Guimond et al. (2010) found that the upper-level updraft can be 20 m s?1. We find that the typical updrafts in observations are closer to the maximum thresholds of the 0.1% percentage in our simulation, which are 9.6 m s?1 at 750 m, 11.5 m s?1 at 6.5 km, and 21.5 m s?1 at 13 km. For this reason, we select the thresholds of the 0.1% percentage as the extreme updraft in this study. Note that the simulated peak updraft is 38.3, 20.6 and 32.8 m s?1 at the lower, middle and upper levels, respectively.
LES-111
LES-37
5%
1%
0.1%
5%
1%
0.1%
Lower
3.1 (0.75)
6.1 (0.5)
11.1 (0.5)
3.1 (0.75)
5.6 (0.75)
9.6 (0.75)
Middle
3.7 (5.25)
7.5 (5.25)
11.3 (6.5)
3.8 (5.25)
7.2 (5.75)
11.5 (6.5)
Upper
4.6 (12.25)
9.8 (13)
19.6 (13)
4.5 (12.5)
10 (13)
21.5 (13)
Table1. Updraft thresholds (units: m s?1) at the selected altitudes in parentheses for the 5%, 1% and 0.1% percentages in LES-111 and LES-37.
Comparing with the extreme updraft, the threshold of the downdraft is smaller at all altitudes. For the 0.1% percentage in LES-37, for example, the three minimum thresholds are ?6.6 m s?1 at 750 m, ?7.2 m s?1 at 5 km, and ?12.6 m s?1 at 13.75 km. The simulated peak downdraft is ?19.3, ?16.5 and ?41.1 m s?1 at the lower, middle and upper levels, respectively.
2 3.2. Temporal and spatial distributions of extreme updrafts -->
3.2. Temporal and spatial distributions of extreme updrafts
Figure 5 shows the percentage of 0.1% grid points with extreme updrafts, indicating the temporal variations of extreme updrafts at the lower (750 m), middle (6.5 km) and upper (13 km) levels. While it is found in each hourly output at the lower level, the extreme updraft/downdraft is not always detected at the middle and upper levels. The extreme updraft occurs only during 26?30 h at the middle and upper levels. Since we use the same percentile rank for all the vertical levels, the temporal distribution in Fig. 5 suggests that the horizontal scale of the small-scale structures associated with the extreme updraft/downdraft is larger in area at the middle and upper levels than that at the lower level, likely due to the relatively strong turbulence in the boundary layer. Note that the scale difference may arise from the relatively coarse vertical resolution above the lower boundary layer. Figure5. Evolution of the percentage of grid points with the extreme updraft (left) and downdraft (right) for the 0.1% percentage during 25?36 h in LES-37. The altitude for each panel is shown in the figure.
Figure 6 shows the spatial distribution of extreme updrafts and downdrafts at 27, 29 and 30 h. In the figure, the locations of extreme updrafts and downdrafts are superposed on the simulated radar reflectivity. At the lower level (Figs. 6g-i), extreme updrafts are mainly at the inner edge of the eyewall convection, although some are radially outside the radius of maximum wind. Compared to the middle and upper levels, a prominent feature at the lower level is that the extreme updraft is accompanied immediately by the extreme downdraft, suggesting the presence of small-scale updraft/downdraft couplets (Marks et al., 2008). Figure6. Horizontal distribution of the extreme updrafts (red; units: m s?1) and downdrafts (blue; m s?1) at the three typical levels of updrafts at 27 h (left), 29 (middle) and 30 h (right). The shading indicates the radar reflectivity (units: dBZ). The plus signs and black circles show the TC center and the RMW. The altitude for each panel is shown in the figure.
In LES-37, Wu et al. (2018, 2019) suggested that very strong updrafts are associated with the tornado-scale vortex, which is prevalent at the inner edge of the eyewall. The tornado-scale vortex is subjectively detected as a small-scale cyclonic circulation in the TC boundary layer, with a diameter of 1?2 km, maximum vertical velocity more than 20 m s–1, and maximum vertical relative vorticity larger than 0.2 s?1. Wu et al. (2019) identified 10, 2 and 3 tornado-scale vortices in LES-37 at 27 h, 29 and 30 h, respectively. The maximum vertical motion and vorticity at 27 h were 31.98 m s?1 (at 400 m) and 0.55 s?1 (at 200 m). Note that the threshold of the updraft for detecting the tornado-scale vortex in Wu et al. (2019) was much larger than that for the extreme updraft in this study, implying that the weaker tornado-scale vortices were detected in this study. As shown in Figs. 6a-f, the extreme updraft and downdraft at 6.5 km and 13 km are also associated with the enhanced eyewall convection, mainly in the northeast quadrant. The extreme updrafts and downdrafts are continuously arranged along the TC-scale tangential flow. As we know, convection bursts can be exceptionally deep and intense, with embedded updrafts of 10?20 m s?1 throughout the middle and upper troposphere (Houze et al., 2009). To examine the linkage with convection bursts, we plot the three-dimensional (3D) volumes of vertical motion (Fig. 7). This figure shows that the strong upward motion is embedded in the deep convection with stronger updrafts throughout the middle and upper levels. However, this figure also indicates that the extreme updrafts are associated with the local mid-level and upper-level structures. Figure7. The wind fields at 500 m (vector) and the volumes of the updrafts for the area of the rectangle in Fig. 6c. The minimum upward motion is 6 m s?1 in (a), 10 m s?1 in (b) and 15 m s?1 in (c). The TC-scale flow is indicated by white arrows.
We calculated the gradient Richardson number (Ri), which is a criterion for evaluating the stability of stratified shear flow (Molinari et al., 2014). Ri is defined as where ${N}^{2}=g{\partial \mathit{\ln}{\theta }_{\mathrm{e}}}/{\partial z}$ is the square of Brunt?V?is?l? frequency, $ {\theta }_{\mathrm{e}} $ is the equivalent potential temperature, and $ g $ is the gravitational acceleration. ${{S}^{2}=\left({\partial u}/{\partial z}\right)}^{2}+{\left({\partial v}/{\partial z}\right)}^{2}$ is the square of vertical shear of the horizontal velocity, in which u and v are the zonal and meridional wind components, and z is altitude. Following Molinari et al. (2014), Fig. 8 shows the vertical distribution of the percentage of grid points with Ri < 1 and Ri < 0.25 during 25?36 h in LES-111 and LES-37. In the figure, we also plot the count of grid points with updrafts stronger than 10 m s?1 at all levels. We find that the vertical distributions in the two experiments are highly similar. The two maxima of the percentage of grid points with Ri < 1 and Ri < 0.25 occur mainly in the inflow and outflow layers, which correspond well with a relatively large count of grid points with updrafts stronger than 10 m s?1. Next, we show that the small-scale vortices in the upper and lower layers are associated with the strong vertical shear in the environment. Figure8. Vertical distribution of the frequency of grid points for Ri < 1 (black) and Ri < 0.25 (red) in (a) LES-111 and (b) LES-37. The blue bar indicates the frequency of grid points with perturbation updrafts of at least 10 m s?1 in (a) LES-111 and (b) LES-37. The frequency is normalized by the number of grid points in the innermost domain of LES-37.
2 3.3. Small-scale features associated with the mid- and upper-level extreme updrafts -->
3.3. Small-scale features associated with the mid- and upper-level extreme updrafts
Since the extreme updrafts at the lower levels are associated with the tornado-scale vortex at the inner edge of the eyewall, which has been discussed in Wu et al. (2018, 2019), here we focus mainly on the associated small-scale features at the middle and upper levels. Following Wu et al. (2019), the perturbation winds were calculated by subtracting an 8-km moving mean. Figure 9 shows a radius?height cross section of perturbation wind vectors and vertical velocity at 30 h. While the vertical motion extends to 14 km along the inner side of the eyewall (Fig. 3), Fig. 9 clearly indicates local enhancement of the vertical motion, which is related to the vortices at the upper levels (10?14 km) and middle levels (6?9 km). At the lower levels, the strong upward motion is located radially at the edge of the eyewall. Figure9. Radius?height cross section of radial wind and vertical motion (vectors) in LES-37 along the line in Fig. 6c at 30 h. The shading indicates the magnitude of the vertical motion (units: m s?1). Vertical motions above the 0.1% percentage are denoted by dots.
In order to clearly demonstrate the 3D structure of the vortices, we plot the 3D streamlines of the perturbation winds. At the upper levels, the 3D streamlines of the perturbation winds in the northeast quadrant at 30 h are shown in Fig. 10a. The wind vectors at the 10-km altitude are also plotted to indicate the relative location of the small-scale structure. The figure includes all the identified upper-level extreme updrafts at 30 h. A robust feature is a pair of two elongated horizontal rolls generally oriented in the tangential direction. Note that the warm (cold) colors indicate the upward (downward) perturbation of vertical motion. The two counter-rotating rolls share the strong updrafts between them, and the downdrafts are on the radially outward and inward sides of the updrafts. Note that, as shown in Fig. 10a, one of the two horizontal rolls can be broken. We examine the extreme updrafts at 25, 27, 29 and 30 h and find that the patterns of perturbation winds are very similar to that in Fig. 10a. Figure10. Streamlines of the perturbation wind at the (a) upper and (b) middle levels in LES-37 at 30 h. The blue arrows indicate the extreme updrafts. The TC-scale flows are indicated by black arrows.
The horizontal rolls in Fig. 10a exhibit a vertical extent of 2?3 km around the altitude of 14 km, extending tens of kilometers generally along with the TC tangential flow. The vertical location of the upper-level rolls is consistent with the upper-level maximum frequency of the grids with Ri < 0.25 (Fig. 8). Figure 11 shows the vertical shear of the 8-km running averaged winds between 10 and 15 km and the vertical motion at 13 km. The vertical shear is dominated by the radial component, indicating the influence of the outflow and inflow of the enhanced eyewall convection around 14 km. It is suggested that the strong vertical shear resulting from the outflow and inflow of the enhanced eyewall convection is directly responsible for the upper-level extreme updrafts by inducing a pair of the counter-rotating horizontal rolls oriented along the TC-scale flow. This is why the upper-level extreme updrafts are closely associated with the enhanced eyewall convection in the northeast quadrant. Figure11. Vertical wind shear of the 8-km mean winds between 10 and 15 km (vectors) and the 13-km vertical velocity (shading; units: m s?1) simulated in LES-37 at 30 h.
At the middle level, Fig. 8 suggests that the vertical wind shear is not a dominant factor for producing extreme updrafts. Figure 10b shows the 3D streamlines of the corresponding perturbation winds at the middle levels at 30 h. Although the pattern is roughly similar to Fig. 10a, close examination suggests that the small-scale features associated with the mid-level extreme updrafts are much more complicated than those at the upper levels. In the survey of the patterns of perturbation winds at the middle levels, there are three typical categories (Fig. 12). In the first category, the strong updraft is surrounded by the downdraft, forming a ring-like roll (Fig. 12a). The second category seems to be two counter-rotating rolls that lie horizontally, similar to the high-level system but with a smaller scale (Fig. 12b), and the third category is like a single roll, which is twisted and tilted in the vertical (Fig. 12c). Figure12. Typical structures of small-scale features associated with the middle-level extreme updrafts (blue arrows) simulated in LES-37 at 30 h. The TC-scale flows are indicated by black arrows.