中国内陆与沿海的CO2排放:基于最终产品生产的不同视角 |
潘文卿1, 张润君2, 潘元鸽2 |
1. 清华大学 经济管理学院, 北京100084; 2. 西北师范大学 社会发展与公共管理学院, 兰州 730000 |
CO2 emissions in coastal and inland regions in China:Perspectives based on the final products |
PAN Wenqing1, ZHANG Runjun2, PAN Yuange2 |
1. School of Economic & Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China; 2. College of Social Development and Public Administration, North-West Normal University, Lanzhou 730000, China |
摘要:
| |||
摘要该文将中国2007年八地区投入产出表合并为沿海与内陆两区域表,并基于两地区投入产出模型及溢出与反馈效应分解技术,从最终产品的生产出发,试图回答"谁实际排放了CO2"以及"谁实际引发了CO2的排放"不同视角的问题。结果表明:从"实际排放"角度测算,中国内陆比沿海多排放CO212亿t,但从"实际引发"角度测算,沿海比内陆实际多引发了CO2排放5.7亿t,表明中国也存在着沿海地区向内陆地区的"碳泄露"现象。因此,单纯的"谁排放,谁担责"原则有失公允。进一步从产业层面考察CO2实际排放与引发排放的差异表明:电力供应、化学工业等传统的高能耗产业虽然实际排放的CO2最多,但它们并不是主要引发CO2排放的产业,而建筑业则在沿海与内陆都成为引发CO2排放最为主要的产业部门。 | |||
关键词 :CO2排放,沿海,内陆,溢出效应 | |||
Abstract:Data in China's Coastal-Inland Bi-regional Input-Output Table of 2007 was analyzed using the spillover and feedback effects decomposition technique to identify "Who discharges CO2" and "Who induces CO2 emission". The inland region discharged 12×108 t more CO2 than the coastal region, but the coastal region induced 5.7×108t more CO2 emissions. Thus, there is "carbon leakage" from the coastal region to the inland region in China and policies that those who discharge bear responsibility are not fair. The differences between the actual CO2 emissions and the cause of the CO2 emissions from the industry perspective were also studied. The electrical supply and chemical products manufacturing industries, which are traditional high energy-consuming industries, discharged more CO2but induced little CO2, while the construction industry induced more CO2 emissions in both the coastal and inland regions in China. | |||
Key words:CO2 emissionscoastalinlandspillover effects | |||
收稿日期: 2014-11-19 出版日期: 2016-05-09 | |||
|
引用本文: |
潘文卿, 张润君, 潘元鸽. 中国内陆与沿海的CO2排放:基于最终产品生产的不同视角[J]. 清华大学学报(自然科学版), 2016, 56(4): 417-423. PAN Wenqing, ZHANG Runjun, PAN Yuange. CO2 emissions in coastal and inland regions in China:Perspectives based on the final products. Journal of Tsinghua University(Science and Technology), 2016, 56(4): 417-423. |
链接本文: |
http://jst.tsinghuajournals.com/CN/10.16511/j.cnki.qhdxxb.2016.24.013或 http://jst.tsinghuajournals.com/CN/Y2016/V56/I4/417 |
图表:
表1 沿海与内陆CO2 实际排放的3类效应 |
表2 CO2 排放的部门结构及3类效应对各产业部门实际CO2 排放的贡献率 |
表3 沿海与内陆实际引发CO2 排放的3类效应 |
表4 实际引发CO2 排放的部门结构及3类效应对各产业部门引发CO2 排放的贡献率 |
参考文献:
[1] Machado G, Schaeffer R, Worrell E. Energy and carbon embodied in the international trade of Brazil:An input-output approach[J]. Ecological Economics, 2001, 39(3):409-424. [2] Peter G P, Hertwich E G. CO2 embodied in international trade with implications for global climate policy[J]. Environmental Science & Technology, 2008, 5:1401-1407. [3] Rhee H C, Chung H S. Change in CO2 emission and its transmission between Korea and Japan using international input-output analysis[J]. Ecological Economics, 2006, 58(4):788-800. [4] Bastianoni S, Pulselli F M, Tiezzi E. The problem of assigning responsibility for greenhouse gas emissions[J]. Ecological Economics, 2004, 49(3):253-257. [5] Lenzen M, Pade L, Munksgaard J. CO2 multipliers in multi-region input-output models[J]. Economic Systems Research, 2004, 16(4):391-412. [6] Atkinson G, Hamilton K, Ruta G, et al. Trade in 'Virtual Carbon':Empirical results and implications for policy[J]. Global Environmental Change, 2011, 21(2):563-574. [7] 张友国. 中国贸易含碳量及其影响因素——基于(进口)非竞争型投入产出表的分析[J]. 经济学季刊, 2010, 9(4):1287-1310.ZHANG Youguo. Carbon contents of the Chinese trade and their determinants:An analysis based on non-competitive input-output tables[J]. China Economic Quarterly, 2010, 9(4):1287-1310. (in Chinese) [8] 顾阿伦, 何建坤, 周玲玲, 等. 中国进出口贸易中的内涵能源及转移排放分析[J]. 清华大学学报:自然科学版, 2010, 50(9):1456-1459.GU Alun, HE Jiankun, ZHOU Lingling, et al. Analysis of embodied energy and transfer emissions of China's import and export trade[J]. Journal of Tsinghua University:Science and Technology, 2010, 50(9):1456-1459. (in Chinese) [9] 潘元鸽, 潘文卿, 吴添. 中国地区间贸易隐含CO2测算[J].统计研究, 2013, 30(9):21-28.PAN Yuange, PAN Wenqing, WU Tian. Measurement of embodied CO2 in regional trade of China[J]. Statistical Research, 2013, 30(9):21-28. (in Chinese) [10] Miller R E. Comments on the 'General Equalibrium' model of professor moses[J]. Metroeconomica, 1963, 40:82-88. [11] 潘文卿, 李子奈. 中国沿海与内陆间经济影响的反馈与溢出效应[J]. 经济研究, 2007, 42(5):68-77. PAN Wenqing, LI Zinai. Feedback and spillover effects between coastal and non-coastal regions of China[J]. Economic Research Journal, 2007(5):68-77. (in Chinese) [12] 张亚雄, 齐舒畅. 2002、2007年中国区域间投入产出表[M]. 北京:中国统计出版社, 2012.ZHANG Yaxiong, QI Shuchang. China Multi-Regional Input-Output Models[M]. Beijing:China Statistics Press, 2012. |
相关文章:
|