Research progress in crop phenology under global climate change
LIU Yujie1,2, GE Quansheng1,2, DAI Junhu1,21. Key Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China 2. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
National Natural Science Foundation of China.41671037 National Key R&D Program of China.2018YFA0606102 The Youth Innovation Promotion Association of CAS.2016049 The Program for "Kezhen" Excellent Talents in Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS.2017RC101 Strategic Priority Research Program of the CAS.QYZDB-SSW-DQC005
作者简介 About authors 刘玉洁(1982-),女,博士,副研究员,主要从事气候变化影响与适应研究E-mail:liuyujie@igsnrr.ac.cn。
Abstract As one of the most important plant traits of crops, crop phenology reflects the characteristics of crop growth and development; its variation also affects crop production. Therefore, crop phenology is a reliable and comprehensive biological indicator reflecting global climate change. Global climate change, marked by rising temperatures, has exerted significant impacts on crop phenology. Under the background of global climate change, revealing the mechanism of global climate change impacts on crop phenology and growth as well as the formation of crop yield is of theoretical and practical significance. At present, crop phenology shifts and their influencing factors have become a hot research topic and an important international issue, thus a large number of studies have been carried out, and achieved rich and effective results. In this paper, we mainly focus on the research progress of crop phenological changes under the background of climate change, including the driving factors and their influencing mechanisms of crop phenological changes as well as methods of research on crop phenology, and the key scientific issues which need to be solved in future study are also discussed. The conclusions of this research could provide a theoretical basis for understanding the impacts and mechanisms of global climate change on crop phenology and for guiding regional agricultural production practices. Keywords:global climate change;crop phenology;driving factors;response;progress
PDF (962KB)元数据多维度评价相关文章导出EndNote|Ris|Bibtex收藏本文 本文引用格式 刘玉洁, 葛全胜, 戴君虎. 全球变化下作物物候研究进展. 地理学报[J], 2020, 75(1): 14-24 doi:10.11821/dlxb202001002 LIU Yujie. Research progress in crop phenology under global climate change. Acta Geographica Sinice[J], 2020, 75(1): 14-24 doi:10.11821/dlxb202001002
工业革命以来的人类活动加剧了气候变化,如在北半球,1983—2012年可能是过去1400年来最暖的30年[18]。在气候变化背景下,作物生长发育的热量条件会发生改变,进而会导致作物物候发生变化。前人深入研究了全球变化对作物物候的影响[19,20]。有****利用长时间序列的物候观测数据进行分析,发现升温对物候变化有显著作用,作物各物候期的发生日期与其前期气温变化显著相关[4-5, 21],如生长季前期气温升高使播期提前和总生育期缩短[22]。Sadras等[23]利用作物模型模拟发现澳大利亚东部和阿根廷彭巴斯小麦在气候变化背景下,播种至开花和从开花至成熟的各物候期均呈现提前趋势。Fujisawa等[24]的研究发现3月气温和苹果树发芽期呈显著负相关关系,其中平均气温、最高气温、最低气温和发芽期的相关系数分别高达-0.88、-0.9、-0.79(P < 0.001);3月和4月气温的上升使得苹果开花期显著提前,开花期对3—4月期间平均气温、最高气温和最低气温的敏感度分别为-4.4 d ℃-1、-3.7 d ℃-1和-4.5 d ℃-1。
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