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--> --> -->Hu et al. (2019a) objectively identified three canonical synoptic patterns driving the extreme mei-yu rainfall events during recent decades, the main feature of which is strengthened southerly flow encountering anomalous northerly flow. The southwesterly anomalies are generally associated with the expansion of the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH), while the anomalous northerlies are driven by several distinct mid–high-latitude disturbances (Fig. 1). The impacts of these synoptic patterns on extreme rainfall are largely realized through anomalous moisture convergence, which is captured by only a subset of global climate models (Hu et al., 2019b). Yang et al. (2019) highlighted the role of moisture transport for the rainstorms over the middle and lower reaches of the YHRV during the mei-yu season. Based on trajectory analysis, they concluded that the main moisture source for heavy rainfall over the YHRV is the Indian Ocean, contributing over 40% of the total water vapor.
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At the meso scale of a few hundreds of kilometers, the low-level jet (LLJ; wind speed greater than 12 m s?1 at 850 or 700 hPa) to the south of the mei-yu front plays a crucial role in moisture transport and mei-yu rainfall formation (Lin et al., 1992; Cui et al., 2015; Wang et al., 2019). It generally manifests itself as a region of strong southwesterly winds centered at 950 hPa, transporting huge amounts of warm and moist air from the South China Sea and Southwest China (Fig. 2a) to the middle and lower reaches of the YHRV and causes significant moisture convergence there (Cui et al., 2015; Wang et al., 2019; Cui et al., 2020a). When these warm, moist air masses mix with the southward invasion of cold and dry air masses from the north over the YHRV, heavy precipitation events are likely to occur (Fig. 2b). Statistics reveal that 79% of LLJs are accompanied by rainstorms during the mei-yu period, while 83% of the rainstorms are accompanied by LLJs (Cui et al., 2020b; Wang et al., 2000).
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In addition to LLJs, the WPSH also plays an important role in the variability of rainstorms within the YHRV, as discussed in Wang et al. (2019) and Hu et al. (2019b). Some studies have noted the influence of the South Asian high (SAH) and upper-level jets (ULJs) and their interactions with other systems, as both the eastward expansion of the SAH and the intensification of ULJs could provide additional forcing for rising motion (Chen and Zhai, 2014, 2016; Hu et al., 2019a, Yang et al., 2019). Figure 1b shows a mei-yu rainband, which includes multiscale convective systems, such as meso-β-scale (20–200 km) and meso-γ-scale (2–20 km) systems. These two systems are key direct factors in generating heavy precipitation during the mei-yu period (Ninomiya and Kurihara, 1987), and ~60%–70% of mei-yu precipitation can be associated with the meso-β-scale convective systems (Zhang et al., 2002, 2004).
The climatological mean of annual mei-yu rainfall over Hubei Province during the period 1951–2019 is 245.6 mm (Fig. 3). However, there is substantial interannual variability. For example, the annual mei-yu rainfall amounts in the years 1958, 1963, 1965, 2001 and 2005 were only ~20% of the climatological mean, whereas those in the years 1954, 1969, 1980, 1983, 1992, 1996, 1998 and 2016 were more than double the climatological mean. The total mei-yu rainfall in 2018 was 174.6 mm, which is below the climatological mean. The 2018 mei-yu period was characterized by short and light precipitation with a few localized heavy rainfall events. Therefore, the year 2018 was not a typical mei-yu season.
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Cui et al. (2020b) analyzed the spatial distributions of the total rainfall amount (Fig. 4a) during the mei-yu period from all precipitating systems (Figs. 4b and d) and only from mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) (Figs. 4c and e) over the YHRV and southern China regions, during the period 2014–18. They concluded that the mei-yu MCSs contribute 20% to 60% of the total precipitation during the mei-yu period, and the regional contribution could be greater than 90%. The mean MCSs’ accumulated precipitation values over the YHRV and southern China during the mei-yu season for the 5-yr period are 59.2 mm and 66.6 mm, respectively, which contribute 34.9% and 28.2% to all mei-yu precipitation, primarily due to higher convective available potential energy over southern China (976.2 J kg?1) than over the YHRV (786.6 J kg?1).
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It is well recognized that the mei-yu frontal rainfall has a pronounced diurnal variation, such as its bimodal distribution and narrow zone. Climatologically, many rainfall systems in the mei-yu frontal zone have a major peak in the morning, and some systems have an afternoon-peak feature. The nocturnal variation of mei-yu rainfall systems tends to take place in a very narrow zone over the YHRV, which is significantly different to the adjacent south and north regions with afternoon-peak rainfall (e.g., Geng and Yamada, 2007; Guan et al., 2020). The results of Zhang et al. (2020) reveal that for typical mei-yu years, precipitation has a single morning peak (0930 LST), which is induced by strong southwesterly moisture transport. However, during atypical mei-yu years, the diurnal variation in precipitation appears as a bimodal structure with peaks in the early morning (0630 LST) and afternoon (1600 LST), where the morning peak is related to the low-level water vapor flux, but weaker than normal mei-yu years (Fig. 5), and the afternoon peak is related to the local solar heating. The diurnal variations of MCSs’ precipitation along the mei-yu frontal system have also been investigated in the study of Cui et al. (2020b). The MCSs occurring in southern China and the Yangtze River basin were studied separately. Although the diurnal variabilities of MCSs’ precipitation in these two regions have some differences, morning precipitation amount maxima are found in both regions, which is associated with the enhanced nocturnal LLJ. The enhanced nocturnal LLJ creates more favorable thermodynamic conditions for triggering convection overnight. The results from this study indicate that the diurnal variation of precipitation associated with convective systems are regionally dependent, but are still determined by the large-scale environmental conditions.
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During phase one of the Integrative Monsoon Frontal Rainfall Experiment (IMFRE-I), there were a few moderate rainfall events and one severe thunderstorm on 30 June 2018 over the Xianning site. In this mid-term review, we focus on discussing the observational results during IMFRE-I, particularly for the 30 June event, in the following sections. Some modeling efforts (e.g., Li et al. 2020; Liu et al. 2020) regarding the effects of aerosols on the cloud properties along the mei-yu frontal system and the microphysical processes responsible for mei-yu heavy precipitation will not be included in this mid-term review.
The rest of the paper is organized as follows: Section 2 briefly describes the motivation and goals of IMFRE. Section 3 highlights the important findings from multiple platforms during IMFRE-I. Finally, IMFRE-II, conducted during summer 2020, is briefly introduced in section 4.
A special focus is placed upon the dynamic and thermodynamic structures of the mesoscale systems embedded in the mei-yu frontal system with their associated cloud properties and precipitation processes. The ground-based observations include those obtained from the IHR Mesoscale Heavy Rainfall Observing System (MHROS; Cui et al., 2015), regular soundings and surface meteorological variables, located at the Xianning surface site (Fig. 6). IHR-MHROS consists of mobile C-band and X-band polarimetric precipitation radars (C-POL and X-POL), millimeter wavelength cloud radars (MMCR), fixed S-band precipitation radars, micro rain radars (MRR), a GPS network, microwave radiometers (MWR), radiosonde soundings, wind profiler radars (WPR), and Parsivel and 2D video (2DVD) disdrometers. In addition to the Ka-band cloud radar, the Shanxi King-Air (KA350) aircraft participating in the campaign is equipped with the following sensors: a cloud droplet probe (CDP), cloud imaging probe (CIP), precipitation imaging probe (PIP), passive cavity aerosol spectrometer probe (PCASP), cloud condensation nuclei counter (CCN-200), and total water content/liquid water content sensors (TWC/LWC) (Yang et al., 2020), and flew ~25 hours during IMFRE-I, based at the Yichang airport (Fig. 6; ~300 km west of the Xianning site). Table 1 lists all ground-based instruments and aircraft probes, as well as their observational ranges and resolutions during IMFRE-I. Multiple satellite observations and retrievals were collected and processed, including data from the Global Precipitation Measurement Mission Dual-Frequency Precipitation Radar (GPM-DPR) and Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals (IMERG), Chinese Fengyun and Japanese Himawari-8 (Cui et al., 2020b; Sun et al., 2020). Through building synthetic datasets and mesoscale modeling analysis during IMFRE, we aim to answer the following questions:
Location | Instruments | Observed variables | Range | Resolution |
Ground-based | C-band Polarimetric radar | Z, V, W, ZDR, ΦDP, ρHV | 150 km | 150 m and 6 min |
Microwave radiometer | Cloud LWP and PWV | 10 km | 50–200 m and 2 min | |
Millimeter cloud radar | Z, V, W, LDR | 30 km | 10 m and 5 s | |
Micro rain radar | Profiles of raindrop spectrum, terminal velocity, intensity | 3 km | 100 m and 1 min | |
2D video disdrometer | Raindrop spectrum, falling speed, shape, rain intensity | ? | 1 min | |
Tropospheric wind profiler radar | Horizontal wind speed and direction, vertical wind velocity, $C_n^2$ profile | 0–16 km | 120–480 m | |
Laser ceilometer | Cloud base height | 0~15 km | ? | |
Airborne | Cloud droplet probe | Droplet spectrum | 2–50 μm | 40 bins and 1 s |
Cloud imaging probe | Droplet spectrum | 12.5 μm–1.55 mm | 25 μm and 1 s | |
Precipitation imaging probe | Particle spectrum | 100 μm–6.2 mm | 100 μm and 1s | |
Passive cavity aerosol spectrometer probe | Number concentration | 0.1–3 μm | 1 s | |
Cloud condensation nuclei cou-nter | Particle size, Number concentration | 0.75–10 μm | 1 s | |
Total water content/liquid water content sensors | Liquid water content | 0–10 g m?3 | 1 s | |
Note: that Z = reflectivity factor; V = Doppler radial velocity; W = Doppler spectrum width; ZDR = differential reflectivity; ΦDP = differential phase shift; ρHV = correlation coefficient; LDR = linear depolarization ratio; $C_n^2$ = structure constant of atmospheric refractive index; LWP = liquid water path; PWV = precipitable water vapor. |
Table1. List of ground-based and airborne instruments used in IMFRE-I.
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(1) Can we gain more insight into the raindrop formation and growth processes at different stages (developing, mature, dissipating) of the mei-yu stratiform and convective rain systems, the impacts of moisture sources on MCS formation, and cloud and precipitation microphysical properties?
(2) What are the dynamic and thermodynamic mechanisms driving the lifecycle characteristics of MCSs and the mei-yu frontal systems, as well as their associated cloud and precipitation properties?
(3) How can we evaluate the different microphysics schemes in the WRF model and find the best solution of quantitative precipitation forecasting for the middle reaches of the YHRV?
The unique feature of the IHR MHROS is to provide continuous, high temporal, spatial and vertical resolutions of observations from multiple sensors, particularly during the mei-yu seasons. Figure 7 shows a few photos during IMFRE-I and Figs. 8–19 illustrate the comprehensive observations from a suite of remote sensors of the IHR MHROS, as well as radar mosaic and satellite observations used during an event that occurred on 30 June 2018 during IMFRE-I as an example. The rainfall event on 30 June 2018 was the only severe thunderstorm observed at the Xianning site during IMFRE-I. This system (and water vapor) was advected from northwestern Hubei Province, initiated in the early morning over Hubei Province, developed before 1100 LST, then became mature from 1100 LST to 1600 LST, and finally dissipated (or moved out) after 1600 LST (Fig. 8).
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The vertical distributions of the system were observed by precipitation radar (reconstructed S-band radar reflectivity over the Xianning site), MMCR and MRR, as well as the surface rainfall amount at the Xianning site. The S-band radar reflectivity (Fig. 9a) and radar mosaic (Figs. 8d–f) illustrate that the radar reflectivity became greater and greater from early morning to noon, and the system started to dissipate after 1700 LST over the Xianning site. The cloud radar was not turned on before noon due to a severe thunderstorm and lightning, and the cloud and precipitation properties below 3 km were derived by MRR with a 100-m vertical resolution, a great addition to the S-band and cloud radar observations. The much higher MRR reflectivity measurements near the surface during the period 0900–1200 LST in Fig. 9c correlate well with the surface rainfall measurements (Fig. 9d). The KA350 aircraft was not allowed to take off due to air control until 1700 LST, and flew over the Xianning site at around 1830 LST. The vertical distributions of atmospheric temperature, relative humidity, water vapor density and LWC retrieved from the MWR over the Xianning site are shown in Fig. 10. The high water vapor density and LWC during the period 0900–1200 LST, although their vertical distributions need to be further validated, strongly correlate with the S-band and MRR reflectivity measurements. To provide more information, the profiles of atmospheric temperature, dewpoint temperature, and mixing ratio observed by GPS radiosonde soundings on 30 June (morning and afternoon) and 17 and 18 June are plotted in Fig. 11. Figures 8–11 demonstrate that it is crucial to have different remote sensors, including both active and passive, as well as surface rainfall and raindrop size distribution measurements, to observe the MCSs in order to have a complete horizontal and vertical distribution of the system due to their different sensitivities. These observations are needed to investigate the formation mechanisms and spatiotemporal evolutions of MCSs and mei-yu frontal systems.
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3.1. Raindrop size distributions from MRR, 2DVD and GPM-DPR
The MRR, a 24 GHz K-band frequency-modulated, continuous-wave Doppler radar, can estimate the profiles of raindrop size distributions (DSDs) converted by power spectra and terminal fall velocities at different heights under certain assumptions. A total of 1896 1-min rain samples observed by MRR during IMFRE-I were collected and classified into three categories of convective rain (CR), stratiform rain (SR), and light rain (LR) to study the vertical structures of rain DSDs as shown in Fig. 12. The LR category is dominated by the evaporation process of smaller raindrops above 1 km with some evidence for the decreased
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Figure 13 shows the spatial distributions of column maximum reflectivities by the GPM-DPR and corresponding brightness temperatures observed by the FY-2G/FY-2E satellites for the three selected cases to represent the developing, mature and dissipating stages of precipitation systems during IMFRE-1 (Sun et al., 2020). Figure 14 presents the types (CR and SR) and three stages (developing, mature and dissipating) of all mei-yu precipitation systems collected and processed during the period 2016–18 in the study of Sun et al. (2020). In general, the coalescence process overwhelms the evaporation and/or breakup processes in the SR developing and mature stages, which results in increased radar reflectivity (Z) and rain rate (RR) values below the bright bands toward the surface. However, none of the processes is dominant in the SR dissipating stage. For CR, coalescence is the dominant process for the three stages.
The PARSIVEL disdrometer–measured RR, Z, raindrop diameter (Dm) and lgNw during IMFRE-I were used to validate the GPM-DPR–retrieved near-surface rain and DSDs for the first time in central China and showed good agreement (Sun et al., 2020). The histograms of Dm and lgNw for all samples, CR, and SR during the 2016–18 mei-yu seasons are shown in Fig. 15 (Fu et al., 2020), where the raindrop Dm and lgNw values in CR are larger and higher than those in SR. Compared with the results over the lower reaches of the YHRV, the RR and total accumulated rainfall over the middle reaches are greater, especially for heavy rainfall. The SR raindrop size increases with
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3.2. Comparison between aircraft in-situ measurements and ground-based retrievals
The KA350 aircraft measurements taken within clouds during IMFRE-I can provide a “cloud truth” to validate ground-based observations, classifications and retrievals, which has not been achieved from previous studies. These aircraft measurements, as well as ground-based observations and retrievals, will shed light on the microphysical parameterizations of mei-yu frontal rainfall.Figure 16a shows reflectivity measurements from the Ka-band radar on the KingAir aircraft on 19 June 2018 during IMFRE-I. The center frequency of Ka-band radar is 35.64 GHz (λ = 8.5 mm) with two transmitters upward and downward, respectively, so it can observe the clouds in two directions. Figure 16b shows the aircraft in-situ measured cloud and drizzle particle size distributions (PSDs) at different altitudes within the cloud layer when the KA350 climbed up from the bottom to top of the cloud layer. The PSDs at the bottom, center and top of the cloud layer demonstrate that the cloud-droplet number concentration (and cloud liquid water content) increases but particle size decreases with height; that is, there is a large amount of small-sized cloud droplets near the cloud top, while a few large-sized drizzle drops exist near the cloud base.
The hydrometeor classifications (HCs) derived from IHR C-POL polarimetric variables are validated by the KA350 PIP measurements during IMFRE-I (Fig. 17). The identification of ice particles by C-POL (Fig. 17c), except for graupel owing to the similar polarimetric characteristics with snow in anvil clouds, is basically consistent with the in-situ aircraft PIP measurements (Fig. 17d). This preliminary validation using in-situ PIP measurements suggests that the C-POL HC results are reasonable; however, more evaluations are needed to improve the performance of the HC algorithm for mei-yu frontal rainfall systems. To the best of our knowledge, this work is the first time that C-POL-classified hydrometeors have been validated against aircraft in-situ measurements over the middle reaches of the YHRV, which will pave the way for future studies related to mei-yu frontal rainfall systems.
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3.3. Development of precipitation parameterizations
The power-law relationship of radar reflectivity (Z) and rain rate (R), Z = aRb, is widely used in radar QPE (quantitative precipitation estimation). The coefficient a and exponent b depend on the climate, precipitation type, and geographical location. Figure 18 shows scatterplots of Z–R values and the least-squares fitted power-law Z–R relation for CR during the 2016–18 mei-yu seasons (Fu et al., 2020). The Z = 300R1.4 relation is widely used for CR over the continental United States based on NEXRAD reflectivity (Marshall and Palmer, 1948; Fulton et al., 1998). The Z–R relation derived from Fu et al. (2020) is close to the classic NEXRAD Z–R relation, but differs to those derived from the lower reaches of the YHRV (Chen et al., 2013; Jin et al., 2015). For a given radar reflectivity Z, the rainrates (R) in Fu et al. (2020) are lower than those from the lower reaches. The difference in the Z–R relation might be caused by different precipitation microphysical processes.The coefficient a and exponent b of the Z–R relationship, Z = aRb, are almost exclusively derived from the surface measurements as shown in Fig. 18. Zhou et al. (2020) found that there are different Z–R relationships at different heights for the LR, SR, and CR. Figure 19 shows the vertical distributions of the coefficient a and exponent b of Z–R relationships for the three rain categories derived from the MRR measurements during IMFRE-I. Generally speaking, there is significant vertical variability in both the coefficients and exponents for all three categories, which are dominated by different DSDs and microphysical processes. The height-dependent Z–R relationships found in Zhou et al. (2020) will provide insightful information for operational radar QPE of monsoon frontal rainfall in central China.
In light of the above reasons and after learning from the successes and mishaps of IMFRE-I, we decided to build two new surface sites. The Jingzhou site is about 100 km east of Yichang airport and has much less air traffic. The Xiangyang site is located at 200 km north of the Jingzhou site. The ground-based instruments at these two new sites are almost identical to those at the Xianning site during IMFRE-I. With these new sites, as well as the existing Xianning site and other surface sites in the lower reaches, we have now conducted phase two of IMFRE (IMFRE-II) over the middle and lower reaches of the YHRV, during June–July 2020 (Cui et al., 2020a). During IMFRE-II, we mainly focused on the Jingzhou surface site with aircraft in-situ measurements there. The S-band and X-band operational radars provided additional ground-based observations for mei-yu frontal systems over the middle reaches of the YHRV. The surface sites in the lower reaches of the YHRV included the Shouxian and Hefei sites of Anhui Province and the Nanjing (Jiangning) site of Jiangsu Province. These three surface sites consist of mostly the same instruments as those over the middle reaches, which provide detailed ground-based observations there.
The IMFRE-II campaign during the 2020 mei-yu season has been completed, and more details are provided in Cui et al. (2020a). The KA350 aircraft, based at Yichang airport, participated in IMFRE-II and flew ~17 hours during the period 16 June to 5 July, with a total of seven flights over the Jingzhou surface site. The 2020 mei-yu season was an abnormal mei-yu season with the following characteristics: (1) The entry date was 8 June, which is about 10 days earlier than normal, while the end date was 21 July, which is also later than normal. Thus, the entire mei-yu season was 44 days, which is 10 days more than normal. (2) There were a total of 10 mei-yu frontal systems during the 2020 mei-yu season, which is much more than normal. (3) In addition to more precipitation events, their precipitation rates and coverages were also much stronger and larger than the normal, and some regions with the historical record of rainfall. (4) The precipitation systems were steadily located around the YHRV with minor meridional fluctuations, which resulted in severe flooding over the middle and lower reaches of the YHRV.
The ground-based and satellite observations and aircraft in-situ measurements during IMFRE-II will help us further answer the three scientific questions posed for IMFRE. With a broader spatial coverage, the comprehensive datasets collected during IMFRE-II will allow better characterizations of the formation mechanisms and spatiotemporal evolutions of mei-yu frontal systems over the middle and lower reaches of the YHRV and the eventual establishment of a conceptual model of the multiscale systems inherent of mei-yu fronts. It will certainly benefit the investigation of the cloud and rain microphysical processes and properties, as well as cloud-to-rain particle conversion and growth processes, during mei-yu frontal rainfall. For example, for a two-layer cloud structure of a mei-yu rainband (e.g., Browning and Harrold, 1970; Takeda, 1971), the rain drops (and/or ice particles) fall from the upper parts of cumulus cloud and rapidly grow into large rain drops near the surface by collecting cloud droplets and small drizzle/rain drops through the collision–coalescence process. This well-known two-layer cloud model in the mei-yu system should be further studied in IMFRE-II as a basic rain-enhancing mechanism. These results will also enable more thorough modeling and data assimilation analyses that aim to constrain model microphysical/precipitation processes, especially parametric uncertainties, with new observations to achieve improved simulation and prediction of mei-yu rainfall storms, which pose considerable flooding threats to the lives and economic wellbeing of the people living in the YHRV.
Acknowledgements. The datasets were provided by the Mesoscale Heavy Rainfall Observing System (MHROS) of the Wuhan Institute of Heave Rain (IHR), China Meteorological Administration. The IMFRE field campaign is primarily supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 41620104009 and 91637211).