Prediction of Aircraft Engine Health Condition Parameters Based on Ensemble ELM

Da Lei, Shi-Sheng Zhongª¤

(School of Mechatronics Engineering, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150001, China)ª¤ª¤ª¤



Abstract:

In view of aircraft engine health condition parameters prediction, an ensemble ELM based prediction approach is proposed in this paper. In the approach, the AdaBoost.RT algorithm is improved to adjust its threshold adaptively, and is utilized as the basic framework to establish the ensemble learning model using ELM as weak learners. The proposed approach is evaluated through the prediction of the actual engine fuel flow deviation time series, and the results demonstrate that this approach is feasible for the prediction of aircraft engine health condition parameters. The performance of the proposed approach is compared with single ELM, single process neural network (PNN), and a similar ensemble ELM based approach using AdaBoost.RT as basic framework. The results show that, the proposed approach is more accurate than single ELM and single PNN, and no worse than the ensemble prediction approach for contrast, furthermore, the given approach is more convenient for practical application. Therefore, the proposed approach is better suited to the prediction of aircraft engine health parameters.ª¤

Key words:  ensemble learning  AdaBoost.RT  ELM  aircraft engine  condition parameter predictionª¤

DOI£º10.11916/j.issn.1005-9113.2013.03.002

Clc Number:TP206+.3

Fund: