| 基于标尺竞争的地方政府土地出让行为互动 |
| 龙奋杰1,2, 王萧濛2, 邹迪2 |
| 1. 贵州理工学院, 贵阳 550003; 2. 清华大学 恒隆房地产研究中心, 北京 100084 |
| Effect of local governments' land leasing behavior based on yardstick competition |
| LONG Fenjie1,2, WANG Xiaomeng2, ZOU Di2 |
| 1. Guizhou Institute of Technology, Guiyang 550003, China; 2. Hang Lung Center for Real Estate, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China |
摘要:
| |||
| 摘要在中国特殊的土地出让和官员政绩评价背景下, 政府间标尺竞争使得同级政府在土地供给上产生相互影响, 即所谓的土地出让行为互动。该文利用理论分析和实证检验, 通过引入要素流动条件, 理论推导出向上和向下的标尺竞争会导致产业用地出让比例受到相关政府决策的影响, 再利用空间计量模型对177个地级及以上城市的经营性土地出让数据进行实证检验。结果表明: 向上的标尺竞争会导致地方政府在出让居住和工业用地时关注与其经济排名接近的政府决策, 回归结果均在0.1%水平上显著; 向下的标尺竞争, 因其作用渠道为招商引资, 故工业用地出让比重仍呈现明显的空间相关性, 而居住用地的政府间行为互动不再显著。 | |||
| 关键词 ：标尺竞争,土地供给,行为互动,空间计量模型 | |||
| Abstract：This study theoretically and empirically analyzes how a yardstick competition influences a local governments' land leasing behavior spatially for a Chinese particular land supply system. The ratio of the industrial land to total land supply is shown to be affected by other governments'decisions due to yardstick competition from “top” and “bottom” when mobility factors are included through tests of the horizontal externalities in the land supply in 177 prefecture-level cities. The result shows spatial autocorrelation between local governments and their competitors who rank near them in terms of the ratio of the industrial and residential to total land supply because of the yardstick competition from the “top”, with of significance at 0.1 percent. For yardstick competition from the “bottom”, the coefficient of the spatial lag variable for residential land is no longer significant while industrial land maintains its ability to attract factors like labor and capital. | |||
| Key words：yardstick competitionland supplyinteraction behaviorspatial econometric model | |||
| 收稿日期: 2014-04-16 出版日期: 2015-11-09 | |||
| |||
| 引用本文: |
| 龙奋杰, 王萧濛, 邹迪. 基于标尺竞争的地方政府土地出让行为互动[J]. 清华大学学报（自然科学版）, 2015, 55(9): 971-976,983. LONG Fenjie, WANG Xiaomeng, ZOU Di. Effect of local governments' land leasing behavior based on yardstick competition. Journal of Tsinghua University(Science and Technology), 2015, 55(9): 971-976,983. |
| 链接本文: |
| http://jst.tsinghuajournals.com/CN/或 http://jst.tsinghuajournals.com/CN/Y2015/V55/I9/971 |
图表:
 |
| 图1 研究框架图 |
 |
| 表1 空间权重矩阵设置表 |
 |
| 表2 WW 矩阵实证拟合结果表 |
 |
| 表3 FW 矩阵实证拟合结果表 |
 |
| 表4 GW 矩阵实证拟合结果表 |
参考文献:
| [1] 周黎安. 晋升博弈中政府官员的激励与合作--兼论我国地方保护主义和重复建设问题长期存在的原因 [J]. 经济研究, 2004, 6: 33-40.ZHOU Li'an. The incentive and cooperation of government officials in the political tournaments: An Interpretation of the prolonged local protectionism and duplicative investments in China [J]. Journal of Economic Research (Jingji Yanjiu), 2004, 6: 33-40. (in Chinese) [2] 徐现祥. 中国区域发展的政治经济学 [J]. 世界经济文汇, 2011, 3: 26-58.XU Xianxiang. Political economy for China's Regional development [J]. World Economic Papers, 2011, 3: 26-58. (in Chinese) [3] 袁浩然. 中国省级政府间税收竞争策略的实证分析--兼与国内同类研究之比较 [J]. 湖南商学院学报, 2011, 18(3): 84-87.YUAN Haoran. An empirical analysis on tax competition strategy among provincial level governments in China-- Comparison with similar domestic research [J]. Journal of Hunan University of Commerce, 2011, 18(3): 84-87. (in Chinese) [4] 李一花. “地方政府竞争” 的经济学分析 [J]. 广西财政高等专科学校学报, 2005, 18(1): 5-11.LI Yihua. Economic analysis for “local governments' competition” [J]. Journal of Guangxi Financial College, 2005, 18(1): 5-11. (in Chinese) [5] Li H, Zhou L A. Political turnover and economic performance: The incentive role of personnel control in China [J]. Journal of Public Economics, 2005, 89(9): 1743-1762. [6] 周黎安, 李宏彬, 陈烨. 相对绩效考核: 关于中国地方官员晋升的一项经验研究 [J]. 经济学报, 2005, 1(1): 83-96.ZHOU Li'an, LI Hongbin, CHEN Ye. Relative performance evaluation: An empirical research of Chinese local officials' promotion [J]. China Journal of Economics, 2005, 1(1): 83-96. (in Chinese) [7] 胡荣昌. 中国地方政府竞争的经济学分析 [J]. 学术交流, 2011 (001): 97-100.HU Rongchang. Economic analysis for Chinese local governments'competition [J]. Academic Exchange, 2011 (001): 97-100. (in Chinese) [8] 吴旬. 土地价格, 地方政府竞争与政府失灵 [J]. 中国土地科学, 2004, 18(2): 10-14.WU Xun. Land price, competition among local governments and governance failure [J]. China Land Science, 2004, 18(2): 10-14. (in Chinese) [9] 龙奋杰, 李一, 王轶军. 中国主要城市住宅供给与城市增长的实证分析 [J]. 清华大学学报: 自然科学版, 2008, 48(9): 1533-1536.LONG Fenjie, LI Yi, WANG Yijun. Empirical study on housing supply and urban growth in major Chinese cities [J]. Journal of Tsinghua Univercity: Science and Technology, 2008, 48(9): 1533-1536. (in Chinese) [10] 张莉, 王贤彬, 徐现祥. 财政激励, 晋升激励与地方官员的土地出让行为 [J]. 中国工业经济, 2011, 4: 35-43.ZHANG Li, WANG Xianbin, XU Xianxiang. Fiscal incentive, political incentive and local officials'land supply [J]. China Industrial Economics, 2011, 4: 35-43. [11] Anselin L. Spatial Econometrics: Methods and Models [M]. Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Kluwer Academic Publishers., 1988. [12] 胡晓添, 濮励杰, 潘捷. 城市土地市场对房价的时空影响研究--基于南京与广州的比较分析 [J]. 江西农业大学学报, 2006, 28(5): 793-796.HU Xiaotian, PU Lijie, PAN Jie. Urban land market space-time impacts on house price--Compared analysis of Nanjing and Guangzhou [J]. Acta Agriculturae Universitis Jiangxiensis, 2006, 28(5): 793-796. (in Chinese) [13] 任荣荣, 刘洪玉. 土地供应对住房价格的影响机理--对北京市的实证研究 [J]. 价格理论与实践, 2007 (10): 40-41. REN Rongrong, LIU Hongyu. The impact of land supply price of housing--An empirical study of Beijing [J]. Theory & Practice, 2007 (10): 40-41. (in Chinese) [14] 李明月, 胡竹枝. 土地要素对经济增长贡献的实证分析--以上海市为例 [J]. 软科学, 2006, 19(6): 21-23. LI Mingyue, HU Zhuzhi. Empirical study on contribution rate of land to economic growth in Shanghai [J]. Soft Science, 2006, 19(6): 21-23. (in Chinese)[15] Cai H, Treisman D. Does competition for capital discipline governments? Decentralization, globalization, and public policy [J]. American Economic Review, 2005, 95(3): 817-830. [16] 中国指数研究院. 中指数据房地产数据信息系统 [Z/OL]. (2013-10-11), http://fdc.soufun.com/creisdata/.China Index Academy.China Real Estate Index System [Z/OL]. (2013-10-11), http://fdc.soufun.com/creisdata/.(in Chinese) [17] 国家统计局.中国统计年鉴 [J].北京: 中国统计出版社, 2009-2012.The National Bureau of Statistics. China Statistical Yearbook [J]. Beijing: China Statistics Press, 2009-2012. (in Chinese) |
相关文章:
|
