拥挤收费措施的公众可接受性与有效性

肖恢翚^1,2, 孙祥龙^1,2, 陆建^1,2

(1.东南大学 城市智能交通江苏省重点实验室, 210096 南京; 2.现代城市交通技术江苏高校协同创新中心,210096 南京)



摘要:

为了研究系统属性对公众可接受性的影响,明确拥挤收费措施的公众可接受性与有效性之间的关系,选择拥挤收费措施的5个系统属性作为模型变量,采用有序概率模型和多项Logit模型方法构建了公众可接受性和措施有效性模型,并利用SP调查的476个样本数据对模型进行了标定,然后利用这两个模型预测了3个收费场景的可接受性与有效性．结果表明:系统属性对可接受性有较大影响,而对有效性影响较小;在集计水平上,研究中的每个收费方案都是有效的,而且拥挤收费有效性高的方案,对应的接受性都较低,但接受性较高的方案中,却有很多是有效的,这说明有效的收费方案并不都是不能被接受的．在进行拥挤收费系统设计时应当主要关注公众可接受性,以提升拥挤收费措施的可行性．

关键词:  拥挤收费  公众可接受性  有效性  有序概率模型  多项Logit模型

DOI：10.11918/j.issn.0367-6234.2014.06.020

分类号:U491

基金项目:国家高技术研究发展计划项目(2011AA110302).



Public acceptability and effectiveness of congestion pricing

XIAO Huihui^1,2, SUN Xianglong^1,2, LU Jian^1,2

(1.Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Urban ITS, Southeast University,210096 Nanjing, China; 2.Jiangsu Province Collaborative Innovation Center of Modern Urban Traffic Technologies,210096 Nanjing, China)

Abstract:

To discuss the impact of the system properties on the public acceptability of congestion pricing and the relationship between public acceptability and effectiveness of it,five system properties of congestion pricing are selected as the model variables, and the ordered probit model and the MNL model are used to establish the models of public acceptability and effectiveness, which are calibrated by 476 sample data from SP survey, then the acceptability and effectiveness of three pricing scenarios are predicted by the two models. The research results reveal that the system properties influence acceptability greatly, but do not significantly influence effectiveness. At the disaggregate level, all charging schemes in this research are effective, and highly effective schemes are less acceptable, whereas much of highly acceptable schemes are still effective, which indicate that not all of the effective charging schemes are unacceptable. To enhance the feasibility of congestion pricing, the design of the measure should focus on the public acceptability of it.

Key words:  congestion pricing  public acceptability  effectiveness  ordered probit model  MNL model