段凯

土木工程学院 副教授



学科方向
水资源水生态



Email
duank6@mail.sysu.edu.cn



个人简介
段凯，中山大学土木工程学院副教授，硕士生导师。主要研究方向为全球变化与水文水资源、生态水文模拟、水资源综合管理等，具体涉及到：使用数学模型与地理信息系统技术，结合遥感、地表通量数据监测与模拟水量平衡及碳平衡的关键变量；在多种时空尺度上耦合全球/区域气候、地表过程、与人类活动的模拟；应用和开发数据分析工具，用于气候数据降尺度，极端事件评估，及不确定性分析等。相关研究成果发表在Journal of Hydrology, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Climatic Change等本领域权威期刊。
教育经历
2009.9-2014.12，武汉大学，水文学及水资源，工学博士
2005.9-2009.6，中山大学，水文与水资源工程，工学学士
工作经历
2018.9至今，中山大学，土木工程学院，副教授
2017.12-2018.8，美国明尼苏达大学森林资源系/?美国农业部林务局Coweeta水文实验室，研究员
2015.5-2017.11，美国北卡罗莱纳州立大学，海洋地球与大气科学学院，博士后
论文著作
期刊论文
20. Duan, K., Caldwell, P. V., Sun, G., McNulty, S. G., Zhang, Y., Shuster, E., Liu, B., & Bolstad, P. V. (2019), Understanding the role of regional water connectivity in mitigating climate change impacts on surface water supply stress in the United States. Journal of Hydrology, 570, 80-95.
19. Duan, K., Caldwell, P. V., Sun, G., McNulty, S. G., Zhang, Y., Shuster, E., Liu, B., & Bolstad, P. V. (2019), Data on projections of surface water withdrawal, consumption, and availability in the conterminous United States through the 21st century. Data in Brief, 23, 103786.
18. Duan, K., Sun, G., Caldwell, P. V., McNulty, S. G., & Zhang, Y. (2018), Availability of upstream flow and its implications for sustainable water supply across the U.S. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 54(3), 694-707.
17. Zhang, L., Sun, G., Cohen, E., McNulty, S., Caldwell, P., Krieger, S., Christian, J., Zhou, D., Duan, K., & Cepero-Perez K. (2018), An improved water budget for the El Yunque National Forest, Puerto Rico, as determined by the Water Supply Stress Index model. Forest Science, 64(1), doi: 10.1093/forsci/fxx016.
16. 杨娜, 段凯, 刘梅, 刘俊杰, 梅亚东. (2017). 淮河流域气象干旱风险的区域特征分析. 干旱区资源与环境, 31(11), 188-193.
15. Duan, K., Sun, G., McNulty, S. G., Caldwell, P. V., Cohen, E. C., Sun, S., Aldridge, H. D., Zhou, D., Zhang, L., & Zhang, Y. (2017), Future shift of the relative roles of precipitation and temperature in controlling annual runoff in the conterminous United States. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 11(21), 5517-5529.
14. Duan, K., Sun, G., Zhang, Y., Yahya, K., Wang, K., Madden, J. M., Caldwell, P. V., Cohen, E. C., & McNulty, S. G. (2017). Impact of air pollution induced climate change on water availability and ecosystem productivity in the conterminous United States. Climatic Change, 140(2), 259-272.
13. Yang, N., Zhang, Y., & Duan, K. (2017). Effect of hydrologic alteration on the community succession of macrophytes at Xiangyang site, Hanjiang River, China. Scientifica, 2017, **. DOI: 10.1155/2017/**.
12. Duan, K., Sun, G., Sun, S., Caldwell, P. V., Cohen, E. C., McNulty, S. G., Aldridge, H. D., & Zhang, Y. (2016). Divergence of ecosystem services in US National Forests and Grasslands under a changing climate. Scientific Reports, 6, 24441. DOI: 10.1038/srep24441.
11. Sun, S., Sun, G., Cohen, E., McNulty, S. G., Caldwell, P. V., Duan, K., & Zhang, Y. (2016). Projecting water yield and ecosystem productivity across the United States by linking an ecohydrological model to WRF dynamically downscaled climate data. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 20(2), 935-952.
10.? Duan, K., Mei, Y., & Zhang, L. (2016). Copula-based bivariate flood frequency analysis in a changing climate—A case study in the Huai River Basin, China. Journal of Earth Science, 27(1), 37-46.
9.? 段凯, 梅亚东. (2015). 基于Tebaldi模型集成法的降水变化不确定性分析. 武汉大学学报（工学版）, 48(4), 433-440.
8.? Duan, K., & Mei, Y. (2014). Comparison of meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural drought responses to climate change and uncertainty assessment. Water Resources Management, 28(14), 5039-5054.
7.? Duan, K., Xiao, W., Mei, Y., & Liu, D. (2014). Multi-scale analysis of meteorological drought risks based on a Bayesian interpolation approach in Huai River basin, China. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 28(8), 1985-1998.
6.? Duan, K., & Mei, Y. (2014). A comparison study of three statistical downscaling methods and their model-averaging ensemble for precipitation downscaling in China. Theoretical and applied climatology, 116(3-4), 707-719.
5. ?段凯, 肖伟华, 梅亚东, 郝彩莲, 王旭. (2012). 大型水利工程对洞庭湖区水资源开发利用的影响. 长江流域资源与环境, 21(11), 1389-1394.
4. ?周研来, 梅亚东, 杨立峰, 许银山, 段凯. (2012). 大渡河梯级水库联合优化调度函数研究. 水力发电学报, 31(4), 78-82.
3.? 段凯, 肖伟华, 梅亚东, 刘文琨. (2012). 丰水城市建立水权交易制度的驱动力与策略分析. 长江科学院院报, 29(3), 1-6.
2.? 刘文琨, 肖伟华, 黄介生, 段凯. (2011). 水污染物总量控制研究进展及问题分析. 中国农村水利水电, 8, 9-12.
1. ?段凯, 梅亚东, 周研来, 颜世杰. (2010). 基于耦合主成分法的小波网络模型城市需水预测. 人民长江, 41(24), 32-40.
会议论文
2.? Zheng, H., Duan, K., Mei, Y., & Lin, Y. (2014, June). Parallel dynamic programming based on stage ReConstruction and its application in reservoir operation. In?Computer and Information Science (ICIS), 2014 IEEE/ACIS 13th International Conference on?(pp. 327-336). IEEE.
1.? 肖伟华, 刘文琨, 黄介生, 裴源生, 段凯. (2011). 水环境污染物总量控制方法及模式体系研究.2011中国环境科学学会学术年会论文集(第一卷).
著作章节
1.? Sun, G., Zhang, L., Duan, K., & Rau B. (2017). Impacts of forest biomass removal on water yield across the United States. In: Efroymson R. A., Langholtz M. H., Johnson K.E., and Stokes B. J. (Eds.), 2016 Billion-Ton Report: Advancing Domestic Resources for a Thriving Bioeconomy, Volume 2: Environmental Sustainability Effects of Select Scenarios from Volume 1. ORNL/TM-2016/727. Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN. 640p. doi 10.2172/**
主要会议报告
8. Duan, K. (2018). Modeling impacts of inter-basin transfers on water supply distribution for National Forest lands and the conterminous United States. The sixth Interagency Conference on Research in the Watersheds (ICRW). Jul 24, Shepherdstown, WV, USA.
7. Duan, K. (2018). Implication of upstream flow availability for surface water supply in the U.S. American Water Resources Association (AWRA) Spring Specialty Conference: GIS and water resources. Apr 25, Orlando, FL, USA.
6.? Duan, K., Sun, G., Zhang, Y., & McNulty, S. G. (2016). Projecting climate change impact on water-carbon cycling in the conterminous United States. 2016 American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting. Dec 12-16, San Francisco, CA, USA.
5.? Duan, K., Sun, G., McNulty, S. G., Caldwell, P. V., Cohen, E. C., Aldridge, H. D., & Zhang, Y. (2016). Rising temperature dominates the future change in U.S. water availability. 2016 American Water Resources Association (AWRA) Annual Conference. Nov 13-17, Orlando, FL, USA.
4.? Sun, G., Duan, K., McNulty, S. G., Cohen, E. C., Caldwell, P. V., Sun, S., Aldridge, H. D., & Zhang, Y. (2016). Impacts of future climate change on carbon and water balances in U.S. national forests and grasslands. International Union of Forest Research Organizations (IUFRO) Regional Congress for Asia and Oceania. Sep 26, Beijing, China.
3.? Sun, G., Duan, K., Sun, S., Caldwell, P. V., Cohen, E. C., McNulty, S. G., & Zhang, Y. (2016). Divergence of ecosystem services in US National Forests and Grasslands under a changing climate. The General Assembly 2016 of the European Geosciences Union (EGU). Apr?17–22, Vienna, Austria.
2.? Duan, K., Zheng, H., Mei, Y., & Lin, Y. (2014). Parallel dynamic programming based on stage reconstruction and its application in reservoir operation. Computer and Information Science (ICIS), 2014 IEEE/ACIS 13th International Conference on Computer and Information Science. Jun 4-6, Taiyuan, China.
1.? Duan, K., & Mei, Y. (2013). Comparison of meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural drought responses to climate change using three hydrological models. 2013 International Specialty Conference - Water for Mega Cities: Challenges and Solutions on Civil, Architectural and Hydraulic Engineering. Sep 16-18, Beijing, China.
科研项目
1. 中山大学****人才启动项目，76，华南湿润地区水-碳平衡研究，2018.09-2020.09，30万元，在研，主持
2. 水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室开放基金，2017SWG01，Independent effects of changing climatic variables on land surface drying in China，2018.01-2019.12，8万元，在研，主持
3. USDA Forest Service Grant，223852，Benefits of water from forested lands across the conterminous US，2017.01-2020.12，24万美元，在研，参加
4. National Science Foundation Earth System Modeling program，AGS-**，Climate mitigation and earth system management from local to global scale: modeling technology-driven futures，2011.04-2017.09，230万美元，已结题，参加
学术兼职
美国地球物理联合会(AGU)会员；美国水资源协会(AWRA)会员；Water Resources Management; Ecohydrology; Earth’s Future; Journal of Earth Science; Journal of Climatology & Weather Forecasting; Ecological Processes等期刊审稿人
寄语学生
欢迎对水文模型、水资源管理、全球变化等问题感兴趣的同学报考我的研究生。
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