讲座题目：My Research regarding trade and shipping development under One Belt One Road Initiative

讲座时间：11月24日上午10：00-11:00

讲座地点：物流楼430

讲 ?座 人：?杨冬 ??博士 ?香港理工大学助理教授

个人介绍：

杨冬，日本神户大学博士，香港理工大学工商管理学院助理教授，国际航运及物流管理学理学硕士课程总监。任现职前，先后在南丹麦大学航运系、新加坡国立大学海运研究中心、交通运输部水运科学研究院物流中心担任助理教授、研究员和副研究员，兼任亚太港口服务组织（亚太经合组织下属旨在促进亚太地区港口协同发展的地区性组织）项目部主任。杨博士最近的主要研究方向包括：大数据在航运市场的应用、铁矿石海运经济分析、海运政策分析、航运市场竞争和合作、贸易预测、海陆多式联运、北极航运等等。杨冬博士主持和参与过多个国内外科研项目。主持过亚太经合组织资助项目两项、交通部及地方交通厅、港口项目多项。2016年作为联合国咨询顾问，主持了联合国亚太经会社（ESCAP）“促进亚洲及拉丁美洲资源贸易便利化”项目。在交通部水运院工作期间，杨冬博士代表交通部多次出席亚太经合组织交通工作组会议及双边会谈，如中丹海运会谈。具备充足的实践经验。?

杨冬博士在《Journal of transport geography》、《Transportation Science》、《Transportation Research Part E》、《Transportation Research Part A》、《Accident Analysis & Prevention》、《Maritime Policy & Management》、《Maritime Economics & Logistics》等等SCI/SSCI学术期刊发表论文多篇。其中，论文《数据聚合对于国际货运交通模式选择预测结果影响的探索性研究》荣获2012年世界海运经济学会年会最佳论文奖。杨冬博士是超过20个SSCI/SCI期刊和国际会议的论文审稿人及《Transport Policy》的客座编辑，同时还担任2016香港一带一路下物流与海事研究国际会议分会主席，第5届物流与海事国际会议组委会委员, 2017年世界海运经济协会年会学术委员会委员，分会主席等职务。曾受邀在丹麦Nordea公司，亚太经合组织多个研讨会，太平洋经济合作组织多个研讨会，国际港口经济和海运物流会议，香港海运周，包括上海交大，山东大学，大连海事大学，中国海洋大学等等多个大学做过多次关于航运港口方面研究的主题演讲。

讲座摘要：With the launch of the One Belt One Road (OBOR) initiative in 2013, China has the ambitious goal of transforming regional political and economic landscapes over the coming decades by building a ‘Silk Road Economic Belt’ and a ‘21st Century Maritime Silk Road’. Massive investments into these infrastructure networks have already taken place. For the land-based routes, eleven Chinese cities have successively opened direct railway container services to European cities, and most of these services are enjoying subsidies from the local governments. For the oceangoing routes, in recent years Cosco Pacific Limited has continued to invest heavily in the Port of Piraeus (Greece), transforming it into an important hub port in Southern Europe. Against this background, one of my research compared the performance of two emerging routes connecting the East Asia and Europe developed under the One Belt One Road Initiative with the traditional Sea-Land route. The route performance under current status and possible future scenarios have been intensively discussed and the results provide strong managerial and political implications on the choice criteria and route preference considered by different target groups. Another research of mine explored the coping strategy for Chinese liner shipping companies, taking into consideration of the impact of the rail development in East Europe and New Eurasian land bridge. A bi-level optimization model is established to realize this objective with real data collected from COSCO, the giant Chinese shipping liner. Furthermore, under the Belt and Road initiatives, more Free Trade Agreements are expected to be concluded and more Free Trade Zones will be established, it is expected that the effective import tariff rate may continue to decrease in the future. My co-authors and I have also conducted an analysis on the impact of further reduction in Chinese import tariff rate on major economic indicators using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model and based on the Chinese macro-economic data of 2012. In this presentation, I will briefly introduce these three researches conducted by my co-authors and me to address the trade and shipping development under One belt and One Road Initiative.?