主 题：The Long-Term Effects of Protestant Activities in China
主讲人：北京大学光华管理学院 颜色副教授
主持人：西南财经大学经济与管理研究院 冯泓副教授
时 间：2014年4月4日下午2:30－4:00点
地 点：柳林校区颐德楼H513
主办单位：经济与管理研究院 科研处
主讲人简介：
颜色,北京大学光华管理学院应用经济学系副教授，副系主任，北京大学经济政策研究所副所长。2008年于美国加州大学洛杉矶分校获经济学博士学位。在国内外核心期刊，如International Economic Review、Explorations in Economic History、《经济研究》、《管理世界》、《经济学季刊》等发表多篇论文。
颜色教授的主要研究领域是经济史、宏观经济学、中国经济。2009年获得第十五届世界经济史大会最佳博士论文奖，是荣获此殊荣的第一位中国学者。研究课题获得美国国家自然科学基金、中国国家社科基金和中国教育部人文社科基金资助。主持“国家重修清史·对外贸易志”项目，曾获光华管理学院教学一等奖，多次被国际著名高校邀请做学术报告, 如哈佛商学院、宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院、科罗拉多大学波尔德分校、纽约市立大学、香港科技大学、香港中文大学等。
内容提要：文化，尤其是宗教，会对经济的长期增长有影响吗？本文研究了19世纪晚期和二十世纪初期新教徒在华活动对经济长期增长的影响。Does culture, and in particular religion, exert an independent causal effect on long-term economic growth, or do culture and religion merely reflect the latter? We explore this issue by studying the case of Protestantism in China during the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries. Combining county-level data on Protestant presence in 1920 and socioeconomic indicators in 2000, we find that the spread of Protestantism has generated significant positive effects in long-term economic growth, educational development, and health care outcomes. To better understand whether the relationship is causal, we exploit the fact that missionaries purposefully undertook disaster relief work to gain the trust of the local people. Thus, we use the frequency of historical disasters as an instrument for Protestant distribution. Our IV results confirm and enhance our OLS results. When we further investigate the transmission channels over the long historical period between 1920 and 2000, we find that although improvements in education and health care outcomes account for a sizable portion of the total effects of missionaries’ past activities on today’s economic outcomes, Protestant activities may have also contributed to long-term economic growth through other channels, such as through transformed social values. If so, then a significant amount of China’s growth since 1978 is the result not just of sudden institutional changes but of human capital and social values acquired over a longer historical period.
论文可在此处下载：mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/53531/1/MPRA_paper_53531.pdf?
