光华讲坛——社会名流与企业家论坛第3027期

标 题：Is the Vehicle Quota System An Optimal Policy for Environment Friendly Purpose in China?

主讲人：Junji Xiao, Fudan University

主持人：经济与管理研究院 张岚副教授

时 间：2013年9月13日（星期五）上午10:00-11:30

地 点：经管楼305会议室，光华校区

主办单位：经济与管理研究院 科研处
主讲人简介：复旦大学管理学院产业经济学系副教授。研究方向：市政产业组织、市场学、环境经济学。论文发表于（或已接受）Review of Economics and Statistics, Journal of Industrial Economics, International Journal of Industrial Organization, Applied Economics, Marketing Letters,《经济学（季刊）》等国内外期刊。
论文摘要: The rapid development of the automobile market has caused undesirable sever problems, such as air pollution and traffic congestion in the emerging economies in recent years. License quota is imposed and allocated through auction by the government of Shanghai, the largest city by population in China, to control the vehicle population. This paper investigates the influence of the unique license auction on the passenger vehicle control, fleet efficiency, gas consumption and pollutant emissions. The empirical findings suggest that the license quota is effective in controlling the sale of passenger vehicles; however, the lower value of local intrinsic preference to cars in Shanghai, which might be due to a better public transport system, plays a more important role in vehicle control. The cost of the license quota is a lower fleet efficiency, offsetting part of the positive effect of vehicle control on environment. A progressive tax system could control both the fleet size and the fleet efficiency, suggesting that the current vehicle system is not the first choice for environmental purpose.