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Macroeconomic Forecasting in Hong Kong: A Survey (1992)_香港中文大学

香港中文大学 辅仁网/2017-07-06

Macroeconomic Forecasting in Hong Kong: A Survey
Publication in refereed journal


香港中文大学研究人员 ( 现职)
周文林教授 (经济学系)


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摘要This study reports the results of a survey on how the business firms, government, and academics in Hong Kong prepare their forecasts, what methods they prefer, whether they keep records of forecasting performance, and the usage of their forecasts. The survey questionnaire was sent to fortynine participants and the results showed that subjective techniques are commonly used by Hong Kong firms in various forecasting situations despite the increasing availability of computers that make possible the efficient use of quantitative forecasting techniques. Also, very few firms performed accuracy analysis for their forecasts. The lack of records of forecasting accuracy suggests that business firms in Hong Kong are likely to continue to use a technique that fails to perform. Copyright ? 1992, Wiley Blackwell. All rights reserved

着者Chou W.-l., Jun Z.
期刊名称Asian Economic Journal
出版年份1992
月份1
日期1
卷号6
期次3
出版社Blackwell Publishing Inc.
出版地United Kingdom
页次265 - 271
国际标準期刊号1351-3958
语言英式英语


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