胡才博
中国科学院大学地球与行星科学学院, 计算地球动力学重点实验室, 北京 100049
基金项目: 国家自然科学联合基金(U1839207)资助
详细信息
作者简介: 石耀霖, 男, 教授, 1944年生, 主要从事地球动力学研究.E-mail: shiyl@ucas.ac.cn
中图分类号: P315;P541 收稿日期:2021-07-22
修回日期:2021-09-08
上线日期:2021-10-10
Pioneering works of Academician Wang Ren in earthquake prediction
SHI YaoLin,HU CaiBo
Key Laboratory of Computational Geodynamics, College of Earth and Planetary Sciences, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
MSC: P315;P541
--> Received Date: 22 July 2021
Revised Date: 08 September 2021
Available Online: 10 October 2021
摘要
摘要:中国是一个多地震和强地震的国家,地震预报是当代科学最具挑战性的课题之一.王仁先生从20世纪70年代起开展了前瞻性和开拓性的工作,他的思想的科学性已经被半个世纪以来的地震科学进展所证明.本文简要回顾了王仁先生关于地震预报的科学思想和实践,以及这些思想在近年来取得的突出进展,展望了今后数值地震预报在高性能计算物理模型驱动和机器学习数据驱动下的发展前景.
关键词: 王仁/
地球动力学/
地震预报/
数值预报
Abstract:China is an earthquake country. Earthquake prediction is one of the most challenging tasks in contemporary science. Professor Wang Ren has shown great insight and carried out pioneering work since the 1970s. The wiseness of his scientific ideas has been proved by progress in earthquake research in the past half a century. This article briefly reviews Professor Wang Ren's scientific thoughts and practice on earthquake prediction, as well as the outstanding developments of these ideas in recent years, and looks forward to the future development prospects of earthquake numerical prediction driven by physical models through high-performance computing and by big data through advanced machine learning.
Key words:Wang Ren/
Geodynamics/
Earthquake prediction/
Numerical forecast
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