陈涛^1,,
张效信²,
张学民³,
靳小兵^4,,,
吴晗^1,5,
提烁¹,
李仁康⁶,
李磊^1,5,
王诗涵^1,5
1. 中国科学院国家空间科学中心, 空间天气学国家重点实验室, 北京 100190
2. 国家气象局卫星气象中心, 北京 100081
3. 中国地震局地震预测研究所, 北京 100036
4. 四川省气象灾害防御技术中心, 成都 610000
5. 中国科学院大学, 北京 100049
6. 云南师范大学, 物理与电子信息学院, 昆明 650500

基金项目: 中国科学院战略性先导科技专项(XDA17010301，XDA17040505，XDA15052500，XDA15350201)，国家自然科学基金项目(41874175，41931073)，中国科学院国家空间科学中心攀登计划主任基金(E0PD41A11S)，中国科学院国家空间科学中心五个重点培育方向项目，国家重点实验室专项基金资助项目，国家重大科技基础设施子午工程项目和云南省基础研究青年项目(2019FD111)共同资助


详细信息

作者简介: 陈涛, 男, 1961年生, 研究员.主要从事大气电场、电离层电场以及辐射带电场探测研究、空间等离子体波与带电粒子的相互作用、空间天气与全球变化的关系等方面的研究.E-mail: tchen@nssc.ac.cn

通讯作者: 靳小兵, 男, 1962年生, 正研级高工.主要从事地球电磁学、大气环境及气象灾害防御研究.E-mail: xiaobingjin@sina.com

中图分类号: P352;P315

收稿日期:2020-04-07
修回日期:2021-01-22
上线日期:2021-04-10

Imminent estimation of earthquake hazard by regional network monitoring the near surface vertical atmospheric electrostatic field

CHEN Tao^1,,
ZHANG XiaoXin²,
ZHANG XueMin³,
JIN XiaoBing^4,,,
WU Han^1,5,
TI Shuo¹,
LI RenKang⁶,
LI Lei^1,5,
WANG ShiHan^1,5
1. State Key Laboratory of Space Weather, National Space Science Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China
2. Key Laboratory of Space Weather, National Center for Space Weather, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China
3. Institute of Earthquake Forecasting, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing 100036, China
4. Sichuan Meteorological Disaster Defense Technology Center, Chengdu 610000, China
5. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
6. College of Physics and Electronic Information, Yunnan Normal University, Kunming 650500, China


More Information

Corresponding author: JIN XiaoBing,E-mail:xiaobingjin@sina.com

MSC: P352;P315

--> Received Date: 07 April 2020
Revised Date: 22 January 2021
Available Online: 10 April 2021


摘要
摘要:本文通过震例研究提出一种临震前形成晴天大气静电信号异常的物理机制.在大震临震阶段，震中区域附近地壳结构发生临界变化，产生大量的岩石微破碎，岩缝间的通道很可能相互连通起来，并通过土壤缝隙，将包含微量元素的气体释放到空中，其中放射性同位素在弥散到空中的过程中不断产生衰变，特别是产生α粒子的放射性电离辐射.这使得大气充满异常多的正负离子，这些异常多的正负离子可能会产生与晴天大气相反的极化电场并被仪器监测到.本文提出了利用这种晴天大气异常静电信号来评估灾害性大震事件发生的组网监测方法，以及确定潜在震中位置、震级大小和发震时段的技术思路.
关键词: 晴天大气电场异常/
组网监测/
地震三要素

Abstract:A precursor mechanism has been proposed by earthquake case studies. It is reported that when a major earthquake is forthcoming,the critical change of the crusts in the region of epicenter leads to a great number of rocks being cracked and torn microscopically,some gas passages connected possibly to each other through the rock cracks,and these passages open to the air through the soil. This special crust crush will significantly release the gases which include a micro mount of radioactive isotopes such as radon. In turn,these radioactive gases effectively undergo α particle decay,and then these α particles with MeV energy will nearly ionize million ion pairs,consequently,many positive and negative particles will be departed by the vertically downward normal atmospheric electrostatic field before these particle recombinations. Finally,these over-dose positive and negative ions will generate a unique reverse vertical atmospheric electric field that could be captured by instruments. Based on this proposed precursor mechanism,many earthquake cases have been studied and diagnosed carefully,associated with corresponding weather conditions,and a very useful method has been presented in this investigation that the anomalous vertical atmospheric electrostatic field signals near the surface under fair-weather condition could be utilized to estimate the probability of earthquake occurrence,and to determine possible location of the potential epicenter,the magnitude and the time of the forthcoming earthquake.
Key words:Fair-weather atmospheric electric field anomalies/
Network Monitoring/
The three factors of earthquakes



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