1.Key Laboratory of Cloud-Precipitation Physics and Severe Storms (LACS), Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China 2.Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China 3.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China Manuscript received: 2018-07-24 Manuscript revised: 2018-09-04 Manuscript accepted: 2018-11-29 Abstract:The rainfall processes during the formation of tropical cyclone (TC) Durian (2001) were investigated quantitatively using the three-dimensional (3D) WRF-based precipitation equation. The rain rate (PS) decreased slightly as the TC approached to formation, and then increased as Durian began to intensify. The rate of moisture-related processes (QWV) in the equation contributed around 80% to PS before TC genesis, and made more contribution during and after TC genesis. The rate of hydrometeor-related processes (QCM) contributed about 20% before TC formation, followed by less contribution during and after TC formation. QWV were dominated by the 3D moisture flux advection rate (QWVA), while the surface evaporation rate (QWVE) also played an important role. Just before TC genesis, moisture from QWVA and QWVE helped the local atmosphere moisten (negative QWVL). QCM were determined by the 3D hydrometeor advection rates (QCLA and QCIA) and the local change rates of hydrometeors (QCLL and QCIL). During TC formation, QCM largely decreased and then reactivated as Durian began to intensify, accompanied by the development of TC cloud. Both the height and the strength of the net latent heating center associated with microphysical processes generally lowered before and during TC genesis, resulting mainly from lessening deposition and condensation. The downward shift of the net latent heating center induced a more bottom-heavy upward mass flux profile, suggesting to promote lower-tropospheric convergence in a shallower layer, vorticity amplification and TC spin-up. Keywords: surface rainfall processes, tropical cyclone formation, three-dimensional precipitation equation, latent heating 摘要:本文利用基于WRF模式的三维降水方程, 定量研究了热带气旋(tropical cyclone, 简称TC)榴莲(2001)生成期间的降水过程. 研究表明, 当TC榴莲趋近于生成时, 降水率(PS)有所减小, 当TC生成后开始加强时, 降水率逐渐增大. 降水方程中的水汽相关过程贡献了约80%的TC生成前降水, 对TC生成后的降水贡献则更大; 而降水方程中的云水凝物相关过程贡献了约20%的TC生成前降水, 对TC生成后的降水贡献则更小. 其中, 水汽相关过程由三维水汽通量平流项(QWVA)主导, 同时, 海表蒸发项(QWVE)也起到重要作用. 在TC生成前, 由QWVA和QWVE带来的水汽还起到增湿局地大气的作用. 云相关过程主要由三维云水凝物的平流项(QCLA, QCIA)和水凝物局地变化率来决定(QCLL, QCIL). 在TC生成期间, 云相关过程对降水的贡献率先显著减小, 接着随着榴莲的加强而有所增大, 伴随着TC云系的发展. 此外, 与云微物理转化过程相联系的净潜热加热率中心的高度和强度在TC生成过程中分别呈现降低和减弱的趋势, 这主要是由云微物理过程中的凝华和凝结过程减少所引起的. 净潜热加热率中心的向下转移引起了向上质量通量廓线中心的下移, 该变化有利于低层大气在近地面的辐合, 涡度的增长和TC的自旋发展. 关键词:地面降水过程, 热带气旋生成, 三维降水方程, 潜热加热
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3.1. Model configuration and precipitation evolution
The formation process of TC Durian (2001) in the South China Sea (SCS) was successfully simulated by the WRF model with four nesting domains, the resolutions of which were 54, 18, 6, and 1.2 km, respectively (Wang et al., 2016b). The 54-km and 18-km domains integrated for 84 hours, starting at 0000 UTC 28 June and ending at 1200 UTC 1 July 2001, driven by NCEP reanalysis data on 2.5°× 2.5° grids. The 6-km and 1.2-km domains started at 1200 UTC 28 June, 12 hours later than the outer two domains, for the purpose of saving computer resources and allowing the environment to develop in the outer domains. The Goddard microphysics scheme (Tao et al., 1989) and Yonsei University boundary layer scheme (Hong et al., 2006) were used in each domain, while the Kain-Fritsch cumulus parameterization scheme (Kain, 2004) was only used in the outermost two domains. The simulated Durian generated near (16°N, 116.2°E) (about 80 km from the best track data) at about 0800 UTC 29 June 2001, which was just two hours later than observed. The 6-h accumulated precipitation amounts derived from passive microwave satellite measurements via the Climate Prediction Center morphing technique (CMORPH; Joyce et al., 2004) (Figs. 1a, c, e and g) and simulated by the WRF model (Figs. 1b, d, f and h) are shown in Fig. 1. From 1800 UTC 28 to 0000 UTC 29 June 2001, the satellite-estimated northwest-southeast-oriented rainband associated with a mesoscale convective system (MCS) before Durian's genesis (Fig. 1a) was reproduced fairly well by the model (Fig. 1b). The difference between the satellite-estimated and simulated precipitation intensities may be mainly due to the underestimation of TC rainfall intensities by the satellite (Sapiano and Arkin, 2009; Yu et al., 2009; Pan et al., 2011; Chen et al., 2015), as well as the relatively coarser horizontal resolution of the satellite estimation (8 km) than the simulation (1.2 km). From 0000 to 0600 UTC 29 June 2001, the satellite-estimated precipitation center near (14°N, 116°E) (Fig. 1c) gradually separated from the MCS rain belt and later developed into the TC-associated precipitation (Figs. 1e and g). Meanwhile, the simulated scattering precipitation (Fig. 1b) to the north of the MCS gradually developed and intensified with cyclonic distribution, and at the same time the rainband associated with the MCS was gradually narrowing and weakening (Figs. 1d, f and h). Overall, despite some differences between the satellite-estimated and the simulated precipitation, the WRF model basically reproduced the evolution characteristics of rainfall associated with the MCS, as well as the TC spin-up. Figure1. Six-hour accumulated precipitation (units: mm) retrieved from (a, c, e, g) satellite measurements via the CMORPH technique with a horizontal resolution of 8 km, and (b, d, f, h) the model with a horizontal resolution of 1.2 km: (a, b) 1800 UTC 28 June to 0000 UTC 29 June; (c, d) 0000 UTC to 0600 UTC 29 June; (e, f) 0600 UTC to 1200 UTC 29 June; (g, h) 1200 UTC to 1800 UTC 29 June.
The time series of the satellite-estimated and simulated rain rates averaged in a 240 km-radius circular domain are presented in Fig. 2. The centers of the circular domains were selected as the centers of a midlevel mesoscale convective vortex (MCV) before Durian's formation and the TC centers after its genesis, moving with time (Wang et al., 2016b). The midlevel MCV formed a favorable area for TC genesis, just like the pouch areas described in (Dunkerton et al., 2009) and (Wang et al., 2010b). The satellite-estimated rain rate was much smaller than the simulated one before 2300 UTC 28 June 2001, but after that the simulated rain rate followed the satellite-estimated one reasonably well. The difference in rain rates was due to the differences in rainfall distributions and intensities between the satellite estimation and simulation. With the formation of TC Durian (0200-1400 UTC 29 June 2001), both the satellite-estimated and simulated rain rates gradually decreased, and then increased as Durian began to intensify after 1400 UTC 29 June 2001. Figure2. Time series of (a) area-averaged surface rain rate (PS, solid line), moisture-related processes (QWV, long dashed line), and cloud-related processes (QCM, short dashed line) (units: mm h-1), and (b) the ratios (units: %) of QWV (long dashed line) and QCM (short dashed line) to PS from 1400 UTC 28 June to 2000 UTC 29 June 2001 in a 240-km-radius domain.
2 3.2. Surface rainfall processes during TC Durian's genesis -->
3.2. Surface rainfall processes during TC Durian's genesis
The time series of area-averaged (in the 240 km-radius circular domain) terms in the 3D WRF-based precipitation equation [Eqs. (1), (6) and (7), Table 1] from 1400 UTC 28 to 2000 UTC 29 June 2001 are shown in Fig. 3. QWV was the major contributor to the PS (Fig. 3a), accounting for more than 70% of it (Fig. 3b). Before Durian's genesis, the ratio of QWV to PS was relatively small (around 80%), and the ratio increased distinctly during and after Durian's formation (Fig. 3b). QCM accounted for around 20% of the PS before TC genesis, and the ratio of QCM to PS decreased quickly during genesis, followed by reactivation as Durian began to intensify (Fig. 3). Figure3. Time series of area-averaged precipitation from CMORPH satellite data (dashed line) and from the model simulation (solid line) in a 240-km-radius area (units: mm h-1) from 1400 UTC 28 June to 2000 UTC 29 June 2001.
According to Eq. (6), QWV consists of four parts: QWVL, QWVA, QWVE and QWVD (Fig. 4a). QWVA presented similar magnitude and evolution as QWV (Fig. 4a). Moisture flux convergence (QWVA>0) dominated the water vapor budget (QWV) over the ocean, with distinct "lower-tropospheric convergence superposed with upper-level divergence" structure (Fig. 5b) and upward vertical mass flux (Fig. 5a). Before Durian's genesis (1400 UTC 28 to 0200 UTC 29 June 2001), a mature MCS existed (Fig. 1b), with a thicker convergence level (Fig. 5b) and higher upward vertical mass flux center (Fig. 5a). Besides, a positive relative vorticity center existed in the mid-troposphere, with a maximum value located at around 4 km (Fig. 5c). (Zhang et al., 2008) and (Wang et al., 2016b) suggested that the midlevel cyclonic relative vorticity could be attributed to the development of a mid-level MCV on the north side of the MCS, which formed a favorable environment for Durian's genesis. The thicker lower-tropospheric convergence level (Fig. 5b) and higher upward vertical mass flux center (Fig. 5a) before Durian's genesis were mainly caused by the MCS. The MCS gradually moved out of the 240 km-radius circular domain during 2200 UTC 28 June to 0200 UTC 29 June. Thus, the upward vertical mass flux (Fig. 5a), the low-level convergence (Fig. 5b) and QWVA (Fig. 4a) slightly decreased. From 0200 to 0800 UTC 29 June 2001, convection gradually organized in the strengthening MCV (Wang et al., 2016b) (Fig. 1d), producing a vertical upward mass flux center at about z=5 km (Fig. 5a) and distinct lower-tropospheric convergence (Fig. 5b). Meanwhile, the positive relative vorticity center moved from around 4 km to ~1.5 km (Fig. 5c), suggesting gradual establishment of the lower-tropospheric TC vortex (Fig. 1d). After Durian's genesis at 0800 UTC 29 June 2001, with gradual intensification of the TC vortex, positive vorticity amplified (Fig. 5c). Meanwhile, the vertical upward mass flux (Fig. 5a), the low-level convergence (Fig. 5b) and QWVA (Fig. 4a) also intensified. Apart from the dominant role of QWVA in QWV (Fig. 4a), QWVE also made an indispensable positive contribution to QWV. Considering the surface evaporation outside the 240 km-radius circular domain, which could be further transported (QWVA) into the circular domain, the contribution of surface evaporation from the ocean to QWV should be bigger. QWVL was generally small during the analysis period (Fig. 4a), while just before Durian's genesis (From 0200 to 0800 UTC 29 June 2001) QWVL presented distinct negative values (Fig. 4a), which suggested the local atmospheric volume (in the 240 km-radius circular domain) was moistening due to sufficient water vapor supply. Figure4. Time series of area-averaged (a) moisture-related processes [QWV (black solid line), consisting of QWVL (red slid line), QWVA (blue solid line), QWVD (greed solid line), and QWVE (pink solid line)], (b) surface rain rate (PS, black dash line) and liquid-phase cloud-related processes [QCL (black solid line), consisting of QCLL (red solid line), QCLA (blue solid line) and QCLD (green solid line)], and (c) surface rain rate (PS, black dash line) and ice-phase cloud-related processes [QCI (black solid line), consisting of QCIL (red solid line), QCIA (blue solid line) and QCID (green solid line)] from 1400 UTC 28 June to 2000 UTC 29 June 2001 in a 240-km-radius domain. The vertical dashed line represents the genesis time of the TC and the horizontal dashed line represents "0". Units: mm h-1.
Figure5. Time series of area-averaged (a) vertical mass flux (units: 10-2 kg m-2 s-1), (b) divergence (units: 10-5 s-1), and (c) vertical relative vorticity (units: 10-5 s-1) in a 240-km-radius domain.
The rate of hydrometeor-related processes (QCM) includes two parts: rates of liquid-phase and ice-phase hydrometeor-related processes [Eq. (7)]. Liquid-phase hydrometeors consist of cloud water and rain water, while ice-phase hydrometeors consist of cloud ice, snow and graupel in this study. The rates of each term [Eq. (7) and Table 1] during the analysis period are presented in Figs. 4b and c. The 3D flux convergence/divergence rates (QCLA, QCIA) and the local change rates (QCLL, QCIL) of hydrometeors were the dominant terms in both liquid-phase and ice-phase hydrometeor-related rates (Figs. 4b and c). Before Durian's formation at 0800 UTC 29 June, QCLA and QCIA both made a positive contribution to QCM, especially QCIA. Positive QCLA and QCIA suggested that there were hydrometeors aggregating into the 240 km-radius circular volume. From 0400 to 1400 UTC 29 June, both QCLA and QCIA decreased to about zero, but with small positive QCLA and negative QCIA due to the vertical dynamical structure (Fig. 5b). This will be analyzed in detail later. After 1400 UTC 29 June, both positive QCLA and negative QCIA increased slightly due to the intensified "lower-tropospheric convergence superposed with upper-level divergence" dynamical structure (Fig. 5b) during Durian's intensification. The variations of local change rates of hydrometeors (QCLL, QCIL) were mainly caused by the 3D flux convergence/divergence rates of hydrometeors (QCLA, QCIA), the microphysical conversion rates, as well as the PS [Eqs. (3) and (4)]. Before 0000 UTC 29 June, both QCLL and QCIL were positive, suggesting a continuous decrease in hydrometeors in the MCS (Fig. 1) to feed the rainfall. From 0000 to 0800 UTC 29 June, with the decreasing PS (Fig. 3a), aggregation of hydrometeors by flux convergence (Figs. 4b, c), and cloud system spin-up (Fig. 1) due to microphysical processes, both QCLL and QCIL became negative, suggesting the development of TC-related cloud hydrometeors. After 0800 UTC 29 June, short-term small and positive QCLL and QCIL may have been mainly caused by consumption due to rainfall (Fig. 3a) under a relatively weak "lower-tropospheric convergence superposed with upper-level divergence" dynamical structure (Fig. 5b). Later, with the re-strengthening vertical "lower-tropospheric convergence superposed with upper-level divergence" dynamical structure (Fig. 5b), hydrometeors in the 240 km-radius circular volume increased distinctly again (negative QCLL and QCIL; Figs. 4b and c). The 3D flux convergence/divergence term of hydrometeors [ ADVQ x=-?3$\cdot$(ρaQxV), x( c,r,i,s,g) in Eqs. (3) and (4)] can be divided into the horizontal part [-?h$\cdot$(ρaQxV), the vertical integration of which is denoted as QCXA_H] and the vertical part [-?v$\cdot$(ρaQxV), the vertical integration of which is denoted as QCXA_V]. During the analysis period of this study, QCXA_V turned out to be much smaller than QCXA_H (not shown), indicating that the horizontal advection of hydrometeors into or out of the 240 km-radius circular volume was more significant. Such a result is different from the conclusions in (Xu et al., 2017), stating that hydrometeor loss/convergence is related to the increased vertical advection of hydrometeors, while hydrometeor gain/divergence is associated with the decreased horizontal advection of hydrometeors. Liquid-phase hydrometeors (cloud water and rain water) were mainly distributed below z=6 km (Figs. 6a and b). Induced by the low-level horizontal convergence below z=9 km (Fig. 5b), the flux convergence of liquid-phase hydrometeors (QCLA_H>0) occurred (Fig. 7). Before 0200 UTC 29 June, QCLA_H generally increased. With the distinct decrease in rain water (Fig. 6b), as well as the apparent constriction of vertical convergence thickness and the decrease in upper-level divergence (Fig. 5b), QCLA_H (Fig. 7) and QCLA (Fig. 4b) markedly decreased. Later, with the intensification of Durian, as well as the simultaneous enhancement of lower-tropospheric convergence and upper-level divergence (Fig. 5b), QCLA_H (Fig. 7) and QCLA (Fig. 4b) increased again. Figure6. Time-height cross sections of cloud hydrometeors: (a) cloud water (Qc), (b) rain water (Qr), (c) cloud ice (Qi), (d) snow (Qs) and (e) graupel (Qg), area-averaged in the 240-km-radius domain from 1400 UTC 28 June to 2000 UTC 29 June 2001. Units: 10-3 g g-1.
Figure7. Vertical profiles of area-averaged horizontal advection terms of liquid-phase hydrometeors (QCLA_H) and ice-phase hydrometeors (QCIA_H) in the 240-km-radius domain from 1400 UTC 28 June to 2000 UTC 29 June 2001. Units: 10-6 kg m-3 h-1.
The ice-phase hydrometeors (cloud ice, snow and graupel) were mainly distributed above 4 km (Figs. 6c-e). Before 2000 UTC 28 June, negative QCIA_H appeared above 9 km (Fig. 7) due to distinct upper-level divergence (Fig. 5b) and deep distributions of ice-phase hydrometeors (Figs. 6c-e). From 1800 UTC 28 to 0200 UTC 29 June, considerable positive QCIA_H appeared between 4 km and 12 km (peaking between 6 km and 7 km), due to slightly enhanced lower-tropospheric convergence (Fig. 5b) and apparent distributions of snow and graupel (Figs. 6d and e). After 0200 UTC 29 June, with the distinct constriction of lower-tropospheric convergence thickness (Fig. 5b), the ice-phase hydrometeor convergence between 4 and 9 km at 0400 UTC 29 June converted to divergence above 4 km (Fig. 7). Meanwhile, due to the apparent decreases in ice-phase hydrometeors (Fig. 6), the magnitude of the above divergence above 4 km was relatively small (Fig. 7). Later, with the simultaneously enhancement of lower-tropospheric convergence and upper-level divergence (Fig. 5b) associated with the intensification of Durian, as well as the increases in ice-phase hydrometeors (Fig. 6), the magnitude of negative QCIA_H increased slightly (Fig. 7). The aforementioned analyses suggest that the precipitation during Durian's formation period was directly determined by the distribution of water species (water vapor and hydrometeors) and the environmental dynamics. At the same time, water species usually interact with each other in terms of microphysical conversion processes, which could exert crucial influence on the environmental thermodynamics and dynamics through latent heating or cooling. In the following section, the role played by microphysical latent heat in Durian's formation will be addressed.