基本信息
袁星男博导中国科学院大气物理研究所
电子邮件： yuanxing@tea.ac.cn
通信地址： 北京市朝阳区德胜门外祁家豁子华严里40号
邮政编码： 100029

研究领域
高分辨率陆面模式发展、水文气候集合预测、气候变化与水循环、极端事件归因


招生信息
欢迎对大气科学研究有一定兴趣，具有气象、水文、数学或环境等交叉背景的学生保送或报考
个人主页：http://www.escience.cn/people/yuanxing/index.html




招生专业070601-气象学

招生方向陆面过程模式
气候变化与水循环
水文气候预测，极端事件


教育背景2005-09--2008-12中国科学院大气物理研究所理学博士
2000-09--2004-06湖南大学数学与计量经济学院理学学士


工作经历
工作简历2014-07~现在,中国科学院大气物理研究所,研究员，博士生导师，国家“****”青年项目入选者
2011-03~2014-07,美国普林斯顿大学（Princeton University）,Climate Modeler
2009-01~2011-02,美国伊利诺伊大学香槟分校（UIUC）,Associate Climate Specialist
2004-07~2005-09,中国科学院大气物理研究所,研究实习员


出版信息
发表论文（1）A first look at decadal hydrological predictability by land surface ensemble simulations,Geophysical Research Letters,2018,第1作者
（2）Reconciling the attribution of changes in streamflow extremes from a hydroclimate perspective,Water Resources Research,2018,第1作者
（3）Anthropogenic intensification of southern African flash droughts as exemplified by the 2015/16 season,Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,2018,第1作者
（4）Do climate change and El Ni?o increase likelihood of Yangtze River extreme rainfall?,Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,2018,第1作者
（5）Multi-scale land-atmosphere coupling and its application in assessing subseasonal forecasts over East Asia,Journal of Hydrometeorology,2018,通讯作者
（6）Superensemble seasonal forecasting of soil moisture by NMME,International Journal of Climatology,2018,通讯作者
（7）Challenges in predicting and simulating summer rainfall in the eastern China,Climate Dynamics,2018,第4作者
（8）Evaluation of summer drought ensemble prediction over Yellow River basin,Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters,2018,通讯作者
（9）水文学研究进展与展望,地理科学进展,2018,第4作者
（10）Does a strong El Ni?o imply a higher predictability of extreme drought?,Scientific Reports,2017,通讯作者
（11）An overview of drought monitoring and prediction systems at regional and global scales,Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,2017,第2作者
（12）Water budget closure based on GRACE measurements and reconstructed evapotranspiration using GLDAS and water use data for two large densely-populated mid-latitude basins,Journal of Hydrology,2017,第3作者
（13）CFSv2-based sub-seasonal precipitation and temperature forecast skill over the contiguous United States,Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,2017,第3作者
（14）干旱气象科学研究—“我国北方干旱致灾过程及机理”项目概述与主要进展,干旱气象,2017,第3作者
（15）气候变化背景下雄安新区发展中面临的问题,中国科学院院刊,2017,第4作者
（16）Hydroclimatic Variability and Predictability: A Survey of Recent Research,Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,2017,其他（合作组作者）
（17）Impact of vegetation dynamics on hydrological processes in a semi-arid basin by using a land surface-hydrology coupled model,Journal of Hydrology,2017,第6作者
（18）Do lateral flows matter for the hyperresolution land surface modeling?,Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres,2017,通讯作者
（19）Understanding and seasonal forecasting of hydrological drought in the Anthropocene,Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,2017,第1作者
（20）An experimental seasonal hydrological forecasting system over the Yellow River basin-Part I: Understanding the role of initial hydrological conditions,Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,2016,第1作者
（21）An experimental seasonal hydrological forecasting system over the Yellow River basin-Part II: The added value from climate forecast models,Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,2016,第1作者
（22）Hydrological monitoring and seasonal forecasting: progresses and perspectives,Journal of Geographical Sciences,2016,第5作者
（23）Measuring and modelling the impact of a severe drought on terrestrial ecosystem CO2 and water fluxes in a subtropical forest,Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences,2016,第4作者
（24）Increasing flash droughts over China during the recent global warming hiatus,Scientific Reports,2016,通讯作者
（25）Seasonal Drought Predictability and Forecast Skill over China,Journal of Geophysical Research,2015,通讯作者
（26）Microwave remote sensing of short-term droughts during crop growing seasons,Geophysical Research Letters,2015,第1作者
（27）A review on climate-model-based seasonal hydrologic forecasting: physical understanding and system development,Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water,2015,第1作者
（28）Seasonal forecasting of global hydrologic extremes: system development and evaluation over GEWEX basins,Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,2015,第1作者
（29）A framework for diagnosing seasonal prediction through canonical event analysis,Monthly Weather Review,2015,第2作者
（30）Integrating weather and climate prediction: toward seamless hydrologic forecasting,Geophysical Research Letters,2014,第1作者
（31）Incorporating reanalysis-based short-term forecasts from a regional climate model in an irrigation scheduling optimization problem,Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management-ASCE,2014,第3作者
（32）Did a skilful prediction of sea surface temperatures help or hinder forecasting of the 2012 Midwestern US drought,Environmental Research Letters,2014,第3作者
（33）Attribution of hydrologic forecast uncertaity within scalable forecast windows,Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,2014,第4作者
（34）Hydrologic post-processing of MOPEX streamflow simulations,Journal of Hydrology,2014,第3作者
（35）A Drought Monitoring and Forecasting System for Sub-Sahara African Water Resources and Food Security,Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,2014,第6作者
（36）The influence of Atlantic Tropical Cyclones on Drought over the Eastern US (1980-2007),Journal of Climate,2013,第3作者
（37）A Probabilistic Framework for Assessing Drought Recovery,Geophysical Research Letters,2013,第2作者
（38）Incorporating groundwater dynamics and surface/subsurface runoff mechanisms in regional climate modeling over river basins in China,Advances in Atmospheric Sciences,2013,第3作者
（39）Multi-model seasonal forecasting of global drought onset,Geophysical Research Letters,2013,第1作者
（40）CFSv2-based seasonal hydroclimatic forecasts over conterminous United States,Journal of Climate,2013,第1作者
（41）Probabilistic Seasonal Forecasting of African Drought by Dynamical Models,Journal of Hydrometeorology,2013,第1作者
（42）Regional Climate-Weather Research and Forecasting Model (CWRF),Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,2012,第3作者
（43）On the clustering of climate models in ensemble seasonal forecasting,Geophysical Research Letters,2012,第1作者
（44）WRF ensemble downscaling seasonal forecasts of China winter precipitation during 1982-2008,Climate Dynamics,2012,第1作者
（45）Downscaling precipitation or bias-correcting streamflow Some implications for coupled general circulation model (CGCM)-based ensemble seasonal hydrologic forecast,Water Resources Research,2012,第1作者
（46）Prediction of water table depths under soil water-groundwater interaction and stream water conveyance, Science in China Series D-Earth Sciences,2011,第3作者
（47）A first look at Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2) for hydrological seasonal prediction,Geophysical Research Letters,2011,第1作者
（48）Improving cold season precipitation prediction by the nested CWRF-CFS system,Geophysical Research Letters,2011,第1作者
（49）Evaluation of a Conjunctive Surface-Subsurface Process Model (CSSP) over the contiguous United States at regional-local scales,Journal of Hydrometeorology,2011,第1作者
（50）Prediction of water table under stream-aquifer interactions over an arid region,Hydrological Processes,2010,第2作者
（51）Sensitivity of regionalized transfer function noise models to the input and parameter transfer method,Hydrological Sciences Journal-Journal des Sciences Hydrologiques,2009,第1作者
（52）Effects of water table dynamics on regional climate: A case study over east Asian monsoon area,Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmosphere,2008,第1作者
（53）Spatiotemporal prediction of shallow water table depths in continental China,Water Resources Research,2008,第1作者

发表著作（1）Soil moisture estimation using active and passive remote sensing techniques, Chapter 3 in Satellite Remote Sensing and Hydrological Capacity Building for Emerging Regions,CRC Press,2016-10,第2作者


科研活动
科研项目（ 1 ） 三江源区下垫面变化的气候效应及其对极端径流的影响, 主持,国家级,2016-01--2018-12
（ 2 ） "****"青年项目, 主持,国家级,2015-01--2017-12
（ 3 ） 干旱早期预警及干旱预测技术系统建设, 主持,国家级,2016-01--2018-12
（ 4 ） 高分辨率区域陆面-生态-水文集成模型研发, 主持,国家级,2018-05--2023-04


指导学生已指导学生
王琳瑛博士研究生070601-气象学
现指导学生
季鹏博士研究生070601-气象学
曾鼎文博士研究生070601-气象学
朱恩达硕士研究生070601-气象学
张苗硕士研究生070601-气象学