基本信息
袁乃明男硕导中国科学院大气物理研究所
电子邮件： yuannm@tea.ac.cn
通信地址： 北京市朝阳区中国科学院大气物理研究所
邮政编码：

研究领域

招生信息
招生专业070601-气象学

招生方向气候预测及预估，复杂气候网络，极端事件


教育背景2012-04--2012-07德国吉森大学联合培养博士
2010-11--2011-11德国吉森大学联合培养博士
2008-09--2013-07北京大学理学博士
2004-09--2008-07北京师范大学物理系理学学士

学历
学位

工作经历
工作简历2016-07~现在,中国科学院大气物理研究所,副研究员
2014-07~2016-07,德国吉森大学,博士后
2013-07~2016-02,中国气象科学研究院,助理研究员
2012-04~2012-07,德国吉森大学,联合培养博士
2010-11~2011-11,德国吉森大学,联合培养博士
2008-09~2013-07,北京大学,理学博士
2004-09~2008-07,北京师范大学物理系,理学学士

社会兼职

教授课程

专利与奖励
奖励信息（1） 世界气象组织Mariolopoulos教授信托基金奖, 其他, 2016
（2） 北京市优秀毕业生, 省级, 2013
（3） 博士研究生国家奖学金, 部委级, 2012

专利成果

出版信息
发表论文（1）On climate prediction: how much can we expect from climate memory?,Climate Dynamics,2019,第1作者
（2）On memory and non-memory parts of surface air temperatures over China: can they be simulated by decadal hindcast experiments in CMIP5?,Climate Dynamics,2019,第11作者
（3）Detecting the statistical significance of the trends in the Antarctic sea ice extent: an indication for a turning point,Climate Dynamics,2019,第11作者
（4）Is long-term climate memory important in temperature/precipitation predictions over China?,Theoretical and applied climatology,2019,第11作者
（5）Understanding long-term persistence and multifractal behaviors in river runoff: A detailed study over eastern China,Physica A,2019,第11作者
（6）Extremes in the magnitude of annual temperature cycle on the Tibetan Plateau over the past three centuries,Climate Dynamics,2019,第3作者
（7）Extreme climatic events down-regulate the grassland biomass response to elevated carbon dioxide,Scientific Reports,2018,第1作者
（8）Evaluation of ENSO simulations in CMIP5 models: A new perspective based on percolation phase transition in complex networks,Scientific Reports,2018,第11作者
（9）Biomass responses in a temperate European grassland through 17 years of elevated CO2,Global Change Biology,2018,第2作者
（10）Increase of the Antarctic Sea Ice Extent is highly significant only in the Ross Sea,Scientific Reports,2017,第1作者
（11）Percolation Phase Transition of Surface Air Temperature Networks: A new test bed for El Nino/La Nina simulations,Scientific Reports,2017,第11作者
（12）Why is scaling important,PAGES MAGAZINE,2017,第2作者
（13）Reduced CO2 fertilization effect in temperate C3 grasslands under more extreme weather conditions,Nature Climate Change,2016,第10作者
（14）Intrinsic correlations and their temporal evolutions between winter-time PNAEPW and winter drought in the west United States,Scientific Reports,2016,第11作者
（15）Percolation Phase Transition of Surface Air Temperature Networks under Attacks of El Nino La Nina,Scientific Reports,2016,第2作者
（16）A novel way to detect correlations on multi-time scales, with temporal evolution and for multi-variables,Scientific Reports,2016,第1作者
（17）Impact of previous one-step variation in positively long-range correlated processes,Theoretical and Applied Climatology,2016,第3作者
（18）Re-assessment of recent (2008-2013) surface mass balance over Dome Argus, Antarctica,Polar Research,2016,第6作者
（19）Beyond Benford's Law Distinguishing Noise from Chaos,PLoS ONE,2015,第11作者
（20）On the Long-Term Climate Memory in the Surface Air Temperature Records over Antarctica A Nonnegligible Factor for Trend Evaluation,Journal of Climate,2015,第1作者
（21）Modified climate with long term memory in tree ring proxies,Environmental Research Letters,2015,第2作者
（22）长时间大气温度序列的外部变化趋势判别研究,物理学报,2015,第11作者
（23）Detrended Partial-Cross-Correlation Analysis A New Method for Analyzing Correlations in Complex System,Scientific Reports,2015,第1作者
（24）Extracting climate memory using Fractional Integrated Statistical Model A new perspective on climate prediction,Scientific Reports,2014,第1作者
（25）Different spatial cross-correlation patterns of temperature records over China A DCCA study on different time scales,Physica A,2014,第1作者
（26）Century-Scale Intensity Modulation of Large-Scale Variability in Long Historical Temperature records,Journal of Climate,2014,第1作者
（27）Long-term memory in climate variability A new look based on fractional integral techniques,JGR,2013,第1作者
（28）Different multi-fractal behaviors of diurnal temperature range over the north and the south of China,Theoretical and Applied Climatology,2013,第1作者
（29）Universal scaling behaviors of meteorological variables' volatility and relations with original records,Physica A,2012,第2作者
（30）Subarea characteristics of the long-range correlations and the index x for daily temperature records over China,Theoretical and Applied Climatology,2012,第2作者
（31）Effect of extreme value loss on long-term correlated time series,Theoretical and Applied Climatology,2012,第1作者
（32）（33）（34）（35）（36）
发表著作

科研活动
科研项目（ 1 ） 基于气候系统中多因子相互作用的气候预测新方法研究, 主持,国家级,2017-01--2020-12
（ 2 ） 气候变率中长期记忆性信号的提取及其在中国气候预测中的应用, 主持,国家级,2015-01--2017-12
（ 3 ） 气候多尺度变化与年代际重大事件的归因及预估, 主持,国家级,2016-07--2021-06

参与会议（1）On climate predictability: A new perspective from scaling and climate memory第14届统计气候学国际会议2019-06-24
（2）分会联合召集人EGU2019年会2019-04-08
（3）On the impacts of ENSO events: A novel research based on complex climate network韩国气象研究所-大气物理研究所（NIMR-IAP）所际学术研讨会2019-02-25
（4）On the climate prediction: How much we can expect from climate memoryEGU2018年会2018-04-09
（5）Nonlinear analysis techniques: From scaling behavior to prediction tools中国科学院东亚区域气候-环境重点实验室2015年度学术年会2016-01-26
（6）Detrended Partial-Cross-Correlation Analysis: A New Method for Analyzing Correlations on Different Time Scales in Complex SystemEGU2015年会2015-04-12
（7）基于气候变率长程持续性特征的可预报性研究第八次全国动力气象学术会议2013-07-16


合作情况
项目协作单位

指导学生